Kick Livestreams/BIG MASSIVE DAYS 2025-10-10 19_07 [a88a1992-big-massive-days] 480p

Testing,

testing,

testing, testing, testing.

Wow,

you can hear my washing machine.

There's some towels.

Big massive day, guys. It's going to be so amazing.

Okay, finances are looking good.

Paid off half the overdraft yesterday.

I'll pay off the rest of it next Thursday, plus have a bit extra to add to my savings.

Finance is looking strong.

嗯，嗯。

Uh, we have

Uh, inflation expectations at 10 AM

US time.

So where's everyone tuning in from today, guys?

I've got a new idea for my Rubik's Cube. I think it's pretty genius

to fill out the second layer at the same time as the first layer,

but I don't want to get— I don't want to like get too hooked on it because yesterday I was exhausted.

I get really addicted to that Rubik's Cube. And then my vision goes all blurry.

And the Rubik's Cube's surprisingly addictive.

No, you can't cheat. That's cheating. Boring if you cheat. Cheating's only fun if there's like a risk of danger if you get caught. What danger are you going to get in cheating on a Rubik's Cube? You also don't gain anything

from winning at the Rubik's Cube. So when you cheat to win, you want to cheat so you get something you want out of it, like money. But you don't get anything from beating the Rubik's Cube unless someone said, I'll give you £1,000 to beat the Rubik's Cube, and then I'd be motivated to cheat.

But only if I, I couldn't solve it myself. And I thought, well, I can't solve it myself anyway, so I might as well risk getting caught cheating because it's the only chance I have of winning.

If you've got a chance of winning, then it's not worth cheating because the consequences are not worth it. But if you've got no chance of winning,

then you might as well Hail Mary it and say, ah well.

Might as

well, because without cheating it's a lost cause.

All

right, so next Thursday I should have £1,000 minus overdraft,

minus overdraft, and minus credit cards. Would leave me with £200 left over to go into savings.

And then I've got, I think, 2 more Thursdays. I reckon I could— might be able to get to £8,000 this month.

Should at least be able to stay over 7,000.

Just need patience, patience.

Final day of the week, and then I'm off for the weekend.

I don't know why Trading 212 wants me to put in my password every time I open it. It's really annoying. Didn't used to do that. Can't turn it off.

I'm not worried that someone is gonna unlock my phone and then get into my trading app.

I mean, if they, if they can unlock the phone because they know the PIN code, then they can unlock the app.

Pointless, isn't it?

Now, if they can use biometrics to unlock my phone, they can use it to unlock the app. I don't want to have to keep opening, unlocking the trading app. Because I, I open and close the app quite a lot. It's really annoying.

Not much is new since yesterday, really.

Um, I put my towel in the laundry, in the washing machine. That's pretty new.

Gaming PC. No, I'm not gonna get that. I don't want to rack up more debt.

I've already got to— I've already started racking it up too much than I wanted to anyway.

I'm more entertained by Rubik's Cube than playing video games. It's funny,

never

thought I'd say that.

Yeah, but I've been spending a lot.

I booked a hotel for this weekend as well. It cost 250.

What? Why is it saying I spent 3,800? Oh,

the formula on the spreadsheet was wrong. So I spent 3,800 last month.

That's wrong.

I spent 2,260 last month and I made 2,660.

So I only made 400 more than I spent, and so far this month I've spent 1,570.

Spending's getting out of control.

It's the electric bill. Electric bills are like $150 a month. Plus road tax, plus Amazon payments. And then I bought that waterproof plug, Rubik's Cube, Tesco,

Tesla charging.

When I came back home from my mum's,

my income streams are OnlyFans, Kick, YouTube, bit of delivery work as well.

OnlyFans kind of dried up, mainly because it's just too cold. I don't really want to get naked. I'm not really in the mood.

And also, if I— it makes me lose a couple hours of streaming if I do an OnlyFans.

Although I'd make more money from a couple hours making OnlyFans than I would from a couple hours of streaming, but I just don't really feel in the mood.

That's the problem with it,

but people are still subscribing and buying the old messages.

I scratched my Flip 7 already. Where is it? Yeah, look, I chipped the paint off around the sides.

I don't even know how that happened. There's no damage, like there's no dent or scratch. It's just the paint's just come off the edge. Like you can just scratch the paint off. Rubbish, isn't it?

Well, I am in the process of killing the alter ego. The alter ego will no longer exist anywhere. Even on streams.

We're putting the Hyde back in the jar.

It's just normal Daniel from here on.

Don't really care if people find that boring, but I have to learn how to have emotional control because it's

really costly not having emotional control, as I have learned.

It's also made me lose a lot of viewers by raging at them.

Girls hate emotional control.

What do you mean?

I mean, yeah, no one likes someone who doesn't have control of their emotions. It's just like being a kid. It's not mature, is it?

It's really dark when I put the camera here.

I'm not quitting streaming.

I'm still gonna stream.

Why would I quit streaming? I only quit streaming if they stop paying me. I'm not doing it for free.

Streaming on YouTube doesn't make enough money.

I mean, I might do a couple hours in the evening,

but I'd probably have to either move back in with my mum or get a job.

Well, I might have a go at streaming every day on YouTube, but I know how much it makes and it's not enough. Yeah, but I don't need the alter ego to stream. I can just sit here doing nothing. I still get paid.

I probably won't bother making YouTube videos though.

There's just no point. Like, even if I make one every day And they make

$12 per video.

$360 a month. It's rubbish.

Even if it would make $20 a video average, which is unlikely, $600 is nothing.

So I would still have no choice but to get a job, either part-time plus YouTube or full-time.

I might just move back in with my mum. If that's the only way to avoid getting a job is move back in with my mum's,

because having to get a job is,

um, a big, a big a lot of effort to be able to keep a house that I don't really care about anymore.

So yeah, I guess the next decision all hinges around what happens to Kick.

Where am I? So

no,

I'm not going outside for streaming anymore. It's too cold. It's pointless and it's not fun.

It's winter now.

The sun's never out. It's always cloudy. Every single fucking day it's cloudy

or raining.

It rained all summer. It rained all spring. This is the only time it's not been raining every day. It still rains.

Rains all the time.

I hardly remember seeing blue skies at all.

Shit.

Hi,

hi.

Maybe I'll try my Rubik's Cube again.

I've got a new tactic that I came up all by myself.

So what I'm going to do is

Like that.

Like that. We're only getting the bottom bits lined up. Best

green.

Green. Look at white there.

Green. Figure 8, 8, 8.

Hey, no, I missed one.

What? I mean, if I hold it further away from my face, I won't get blurry vision.

I don't understand why I can't

This bit, so then go like that.

Oh, I did it! Yay! I think I've gotten better at doing the first layer. I mean the cross bit,

and then you just do easy.

Easy. I want to take out that corner.

Green-red goes in this

corner. Green-orange.

Easy.

Green, move it away,

put the corner back in,

put the corner back in.

Green,

orange.

Oh, easy! Second layer.

Orange, yellow.

Green, red.

I always get stuck on this bit.

Don't stare,

boy.

Oh.

What?

Oh, I always get stuck on that last bit.

Ah,

missed the mark.

Okay, ist da ein

Damn, I can do that bit really easy now.

That bit's easy.

Corners are easy too.

Oh, and

then I get stuck here.

The cross.

Okay, then I get the cross, but then I get stuck here.

This doesn't do anything.

What's that video?

And this algorithm goes like this. So you move the right side up, move this pair of pieces— pay attention to this pair— move it to the left, and you put the right side back down. And you keep moving this to the left all the way till it's on the very left side, and then you move the right

side up again and put it all the way back in. So like that. I haven't been doing that. All right, so if you've done that correctly, you should now be able to line up everything.

Oh, all right. The next step is to get all of the corners into the correct spot. So, and you keep moving this to the left. Oh, so like this.

Once the cross is done, just like with the first cross, we want to try and line up as many pieces as we can. So here I've lined up green and orange, but I have not lined up the other 2. So you're either going to be able to line up all 4, in which case, great, you're done this

step, or you can only line up 2. So you want to hold these 2 solved ones so that one's at the back and one's at the right. Now, uh, one's at the back, one's to the right.

If you can't do that, if they are across from each other, then just do this algorithm from anywhere, and this algorithm goes like this. So you move the right side up, move this pair of pieces— pay attention to this pair— move it to the left, and you put the right side back down. And you keep moving this

to the left all the way till it's on the very left side, and then you move the right side up again and put it all the way back in. So like that.

What?

Oh no, fuck's sake.

Oh, now it fucks it up.

Red and green.

Red. So he said blue.

These 2.

All right, so if you've done that correctly, you should now— can you keep moving? Just do this algorithm from anywhere. And this algorithm goes like this. So you move the right side up, move this pair of pieces— pay attention to this pair— move it to the left, and you put the right side back down. And you keep

moving this to the left all the way till it's on the very left side, and then you move the right side up again and clear it all the way back in. So like,

so I move it up, spin it around,

Put it back in again.

You keep moving this to the left all the way till it's on the very left side, and then you move the right side up again and put it all the way back in. So like that.

And you keep moving this to the left all the way. So you move the right side up, move this pair of pieces— pay attention to this pair— move it to the left, and you put the right side back down. And you keep moving this to the left all the way till it's on the very left side, and

then you move the right side up again and clear all—

all the way around.

Put it back in again.

Okay, that didn't work.

All the way back in. So move this pair of pieces, pay attention to this pair, move To the left, and you put the right side back down. And then I move it again,

put that down, move it again, back up, put it back in, put it back down,

back up, in, down, in, back up. Back around. Oh,

fuck, what happened?

Oh, that nearly worked.

Up, in, down, round, back up, back in, back down.

Up, round, back down,

round,

and back in, round again. Why doesn't it work?

You keep moving this to the left all the way till it's on the very left side, and then you move the right side up again and put it all the way back in, so like that.

Alright, so if you've done that correctly, you should now be able to line up everything. And then you move the right side up again and put it all the way back in, so like that. Alright, so if you've done that correctly, you should now Now be able to line up. And then you move the— so you want

to hold these 2 solved ones so that one's at the back and one's at the right. Now one's at the back, one to the right, one to the right, one to the back, one to the right. Okay.

No way, that worked!

Now I just got the corners. I might actually do it. Um, if you can't do that, if they are across from each other, then just do this algorithm anywhere. And this algorithm goes like this. So you move the right side up, move this pair up again, and put it all the way back in. So like that, blue,

and it's got yellow, blue, red centers around it, so it's not in the right spot. Spot. This one's not in the right spot. This one is in the right spot. Yellow, orange, green. Yellow, orange, green. Now if all of them are in the right spot already, then you're done this step, but if only one is correct, then

hold it on the front right. If none are correct, then just do this algorithm from anywhere, and the algorithm goes like this: turn the top with your right hand, right side up. Okay.

What? Oh, fucked up again.

Hey,

whoa.

Okay, I've got the crosses back in now.

To the right, like that, and then you do that down again, back up, back round. Back in.

Ah, fixed it. Okay, now I need the corners to match up, so I take the one that's correct and I do the algorithm.

Oh, I did it!

I just got 2 blocks. Now how do I fix those 2 blocks? Same thing with your left hand. Turn your left hand left side up. Now all the same thing again, but downwards. Turn the top of your right hand right side down, turn the top of your left hand left side down. Alright, so this one's still in

the right spot, so just keep your finger on that and check all the other ones. And, uh, nope, they're not in the right spot yet, so then just do it again. Right hand right side up, left hand, left side up, right hand, right side down, left hand, left side down. And then now every corner is in the

right spot, but not necessarily flipped correctly, as you can see from these 2. So every corner is in the right spot now, and so once you get to this step, you should turn everything upside down. So get all these corners in the bottom layer, and now we're just going to solve them one by one, but make sure

you pay attention to how this works, because if you make a mistake, you could mess up the whole cube. Okay, so we're going to start by solving this bottom right corner. So we're going to do those 4 moves with our right hand until this one is solved. So 1, 2, 3,

4.

Solved. Then what? And there it is, it's solved. So once you've done that, then start doing the next corner, but make sure you bring the next corner Over by turning the bottom layer. Don't rotate the whole cube or you'll mess things up. So just turn the bottom layer over to get the next corner and then. Okay, the

bottom layer.

Okay, now it's messed up the whole thing.

And now that one's solved, so bring over the next one. Repeat. This one's solved, bring over the next one.

And then— what? So

if you're new to this channel, what I do here is make tutorials on— oh, it's messed up the whole thing for me.

Uh, I don't know what I've done wrong there.

I missed it all that.

Oh, so close.

Never end it again.

Greenery.

Okay,

orange,

green, yellow,

yellow, yellow, yellow. And then what do I do?

Okay, so I— although I did cross, got the cross.

And then line them up.

That's right, that's right. So I move that up,

move that up, down, across, back up, background.

Oh. Okay, so then I've got to do that algorithm.

Okay, they all match up. And then what? So this is the bit I always mess up. He says flip it upside down.

And then you gotta fix the corner.

Okay, but I do that, it messes up all the white.

I must be doing it wrong.

Now I've messed it up.

What? Faster at the Rubik's Cube. The next one, do those 4 moves with our right hand. Now we're just going to solve them one by one. But so every corner is in the right spot now, and so once you get to this step, you should turn everything upside down. So get all these corners in the bottom layer,

and now we're just going to solve them one by one. But make sure you pay attention to how this works, because if you make a mistake, you could mess up the whole cube. Okay, so we're going to start by solving this bottom right corner. So we're going to do those 4 moves with our right hand until this

one is solved. So 1, 2, 3, 4. And there it is, it's solved. So once you've done that, then start doing the next corner, but make sure you bring the next corner over by turning the bottom layer. Don't rotate the whole cube or you'll mess things up, so just turn the— rotate the bottom layer. Okay.

Oh, oh,

I thought I nearly had it. It looked like I was gonna have it.

Fucking hell.

Messed it up again. Start again. So what you want to do is get all these at the bottom.

And

here's the whites.

Orange

and blue.

Okay.

Green-red.

Okay, and then

Okay, now match it up.

Good. Twist, twist. Down, twist, back up, return, back down.

Twist, twist, twist, twist, twist, twist, twist.

What?

It's not doing anything. Oh, I have to cross.

Okay, I got the cross. Okay, fix that bit.

Oh,

I did it! All right, so this is the bit I get stuck on. The corners.

Flip it upside down, he said.

Bottom layer over. Okay, so we're going to start by spot, but not necessarily flipped correctly, as you can see from these. Wait, have I matched the colors?

Oh no, I haven't.

Oh,

it's not working. Why can't I match up the corners?

Hold it on the front right. If none are correct, then just do this algorithm from anywhere, and the algorithm goes like this: turn the top with your right hand, right side up. Same thing with your left hand, turn with your left hand, left side up. Now all the same thing again, but downwards. Turn the top with your

right hand, right side down. Turn the top with your left hand, left side down. Alright, so this one's still in the right spot, so just keep Keep your finger on that and check all the other ones. And nope, they're not in the right spot yet. So then just do it again. Right hand, right side up. Left hand,

left side up. Right hand, right side down. Left hand, left side down. And then now every corner— why doesn't mine match up?

Needs to be there.

Twist it, twist it, twist it, twist it.

It didn't move, it stayed in the same place.

Okay, now it's in the right place, but then

Hey,

I

messed it all up. I don't know what I did.

Fucking hell.

Okay,

and you see that. Now I'm gonna do the cross, cross

green and red. Then I do this, back down. Okay, it's all mapped. No, it's not.

That's all matched up. Uh, this is the bit I don't get.

So I take

Put it there. Where are that?

Oh, my eyes gone blurry again.

Okay, that one's correct. And those, those are correct. And that's correct. Oh, I've nearly done it! Look,

there's just 2 corners. And now it's gonna get messed up.

He said flip it upside down.

What am I doing wrong?

is in the right spot, but not necessarily in this bottom right corner. So we're going to do those 4 moves with our right hand until this one is solved. So 1, 2, 3, 4, and there it is, it's solved. So once you've done that, then start doing the next corner, but make sure you bring the next corner

over by turning the bottom layer. Don't rotate the whole cube or you'll mess things up. Rotate the bottom layer.

Okay.

Rotate bottom layer.

It messes the whole thing up. Fucking hell.

Unrotate it, twist this bit maybe, then rotate it.

It always messes the rest of it up.

Now, Brenda. Oh.

Oh no, fuck.

Oh, I'm fucking messed up again.

How did you know Mr. Meow Meow's at the door? Because I see him there on the camera.

Whoa, I nearly solved it. I just got 2. Now this is the bit I mess up.

And then he said rotate the bottom.

Okay, but that always messes the whole thing up.

No, unrotate the bottom, take it out again.

That always messes it all up. I don't get it.

Okay.

Cross complete. Blue, green.

Blue,

red.

Yeah, that's the best I can do.

I always get

2 or 3 corners flipped the wrong way.

This last bit, I can't do this bit. Just turn the bottom layer over, all these corners in the bottom. Let's do it. So every corner is in the right spot now, and so once you get to this step, you should turn everything upside down. So get all these corners in the bottom layer, and now we're just going

to solve them one by one. Not everything's in the right spot. There.

Oh my fucking God.

3 pages actually. Alright, so just keep your finger on that and check all the other ones, and, uh, nope, they're not in the right spot yet, so then just do it again. Right hand, right side up.

Oh, oh, it worked! Now I've got match the corners.

How'd you do that? Left hand, left it up, right hand, but it is in the right spot now. And so once you get to this step, you should turn everything upside down. So get all these corners in the bottom layer, and now we're just going to solve them one by one, but make sure you pay attention to

how the Works because if you make a mistake, you could mess up the whole cube. Good. We're going to start by solving this bottom right corner. We're going to do those four moves with our right hand until this one is solved. So one, two, three, four, and there it is. It's solved. So once you've done that, then

start doing the next corner. But make

Fucking hell, always the last bit.

Oh God,

now

I'm gonna start again.

嗯，嗯嗯，OK。

Okay, well, let's cover it by this side.

Okay, all right, fix it.

Nearly done it,

but it's just these 2.

Every time I try and fix those 2, I mess up the whole thing.

Toilet! In the toilet!

Laundry

is finally dry.

How much battery?

48%.

Imagine it's still wet. That'd be funny.

All right,

I have a break from the Rubik's Cube.

I have no idea about the market. It just rips and then tanks and then rips.

It's too hard.

I'm just guessing. Like, I can't see any setup.

Got equal highs.

I feel like that's as far as I can get.

Oh.

Now the cube is nearly solved, but I can't get these 2 fixed.

These 2 here.

How the hell do you

How the hell do you flip this round?

No, then I need a break from it.

If I follow the guy's tips, it always It messes up the rest of the queue. I don't know what I'm doing differently.

I need a specific tutorial how to fix one corner.

My eyes going all blurry from staring at it.

5 minutes on the laundry.

What's for lunch?

Garlic bread, bacon, and hash brown again.

Could do. Got to eat it anyway.

Daddy.

Dee-dee. God, I haven't looked out the window in ages.

I need to exercise my long-distance vision.

Another dull day.

Face must be visible all the time. Where everyone tuning in from?

My wife cheated on me. Oh no.

Getting a bit cold.

Wow, stocks and shares ISA doing good today. Bitmine going back up.

CFD account getting wrecked as usual. It's weird how CFDs are so hard but investing is pretty easy. I've been doing CFDs for months now and I've managed to lose about £700. I've been doing my stocks and shares ISA for slightly less time and I'm up £550. It's crazy, isn't it?

I don't know why CFDs are so hard. It's because of the leverage, isn't it?

Yeah, but my stocks and shares ISA is 20 times the size of my CFD account, so it's kind of like leverage, isn't it?

With my CFDs, I've only got about £500, but it's times 20, so it's like 5— it's like £10,000 worth. So my CFD account value bigger than the stocks and shares ISA. That's why the, the losses and the gains are bigger for smaller movements, but it's like more volatile.

But if you get it wrong and it keeps going the other way, you get destroyed.

I know. I mean, if I just did this— the problem is I'm going short all the time. If I just did the same thing with the CFDs I did with the investments, like I went long gold, I went long indices, I would have been up loads. I would have been up like £1,000 maybe.

Right, if I went short with my Stocks and Shares ISA, I'd be getting wrecked on that as well.

I think the lesson should be just never go short.

Just pretend there's no short button, just erase it. I think if they got rid of the sell, the short button,

Um, people would be doing a lot better because then all you've got to do, all you've got to worry about is buying. And in the markets, that always goes up.

So if you just buy, you can't lose unless you only ever buy at the all-time highs, but even then you'd still be up.

I just feel like trying to make money shorting is so difficult. Compared to long.

If I just never bothered with CFDs, I'd have an extra 600, 700 in my account.

I mean, the goal was never to long-term short the market. I was trying to like make some extra money

expecting a pullback, but it never fucking pulled back. Pulls back like 2% and then rips again.

So stupid.

And then I get trapped in the short and I'm stubborn, I don't want to take the £400 loss,

and then it just Getting— gets bigger and bigger. The last— the stupid market never pulls back. When was the last time it pulled back big? Was— I don't know, Elon Musk and Trump had a fight on Twitter

last time I remember.

Stupid fucking market, isn't it?

It has not been very good shooting.

I'm breaking and I haven't been eating my eggs actually. I got eggs but I haven't eaten a single one.

Maybe I'll boil some for later. I just can't really be bothered.

Knuckles are awake.

I don't know if I want to be in the long run.

Why is my bacon so flat?

Goodbye,

ya.

嗯，等一下。

啊。

Ah, where's everyone cheering in any hall?

Oh

God, I'm bored.

Uh,

okay.

Rubik's Cube done, stocks not done, lunch done, exercise in 1 hour, and then trading,

and then

7 hours of nothing.

Oh, this is my life.

Yeah, my stock's doing good too, actually.

Would you like to know

I am up £370 with gold, £140 with Bitmine Immersion, £21 with S&P 500, £3 with financials. In total, I'm up £550.

Actually,

add to the ones doing well or at all-time highs. If Bitmain kept tanking, I might have bought some more.

Because crypto bull run doesn't finish without a euphoric parabolic move. It doesn't just fizzle out,

and we haven't had that yet, and the altcoins haven't run yet. So I don't think crypto's done, so I'm not selling my Bitcoin.

But I want to add more S&P 500. Maybe I've only got £300 in it.

I'm still sitting on 1,700 cash with 4,100 invested.

Well, I don't think I'm gonna urgently need a large amount of money anytime soon. Fingers crossed. So I'm not really like desperate

to sell and take profits.

So what's my financial goal? Hmm.

I don't know, I just want to steadily build it up to 10K. I'm at around 6K now.

Build it steadily.

It's not really anything I want to buy.

Just accept

the boringness of life for now.

Enjoy it.

No, I don't want to go to Japan.

Boring.

I don't know what I want to do.

Really?

I can't decide if I want to stay here

or not.

I'm kind of maybe looking for a sign.

There's 2 things that would make me decide.

Getting kicked out, obviously, or losing Kick.

Those would be 2 massive catalysts that would trigger something, I guess.

So if I—

I

don't know, I'm like scared to trigger the moving out process. I don't know why I'm scared.

Like I can't be bothered or something.

Hard to prove earnings again? No, I think it would be easier because I made way more money this tax year than previous. You know what, what tax year they used to calculate my earnings? 2022 tax earnings— I mean, tax report. They used my 2022 submitted earnings for my tax report to calculate my earnings of £17,000,

and then I had £9,000 savings to get me up to the £26,000 required income.

I've made £21,000 so far this tax year. Next tax year— I mean, once this tax year is done, I would have made— I don't even need the savings.

Because I would submit my Kick earnings for taxes next April,

and then I'll say, oh yeah, I made $30K this year, which would easily clear the income check if I was gonna move out and get another place, let's say after July next year, around summer next year.

I'll use this year's tax earning— tax report as my earnings.

I wouldn't even need the savings.

Plus, I got all the furniture already, so I don't have to spend thousands again refurnishing. I'll just keep my bed and the sofa somewhere at my mum's place.

I mean, this bed is pretty easy to store. You just put it on its side and put it up against the wall. It's just a wooden frame at the end of the day. You take the slats out, reduce the weight a lot, and then just put it up against the wall in the garage. And then the sofa,

you could stack it in the corner, couldn't you? Because it comes apart in twos.

And the washing machine, I don't know, just put it in the garage. I said you could put the washing machine in the summer cabin, but she said there's no water connection for a washing machine,

which is a bit silly. I don't know why my uncle didn't make a pipe so you can put a washing machine.

Yeah, I'm getting weird green glitching on the Kick feed playback. Are you getting that too?

I don't know why that's happening.

I guess it doesn't matter.

I just think it's a bit sad that

without Kick I would have to get a job, but I don't want to get a job. So then I'd go back to my mum's place. But if I ever got into a situation where I'm gonna live with a girlfriend,

then I'm gonna have to get a job anyway.

Otherwise, if I try and live off YouTube alone, I'm gonna be broke.

I might have enough to pay half the rent if we have that kind of agreement,

but I'd still have to get a job or do a lot of delivery work. So it's like either I've got to just get a job anyway

Or just pray and hope Kick carries on paying. But I mean, that's not very reliable, is it?

I can't rely on YouTube anymore.

I can't make any money day trading. I just lose money all the time.

I

don't know,

there just seems to be no way to escape having to get a job unless I'm happy being a 40-year-old loser living with my mum making $600 a month off

YouTube whilst doing some delivery work.

That's the sad thing about it. Now, whilst you were making good money, most of it went towards rent instead of paying back debt. And then once you move out and you don't have to pay expenses anymore, you don't have the big money anymore because you lost Kick. So then you're back to square zero.

All I've got is about the 6K savings.

It's hard to save.

I don't know. I mean, I already got a warning from Kit.

If I get another one, I'm out.

That's what I'm trying to do. I'm trying to put all the money I save into stocks whilst also trying to stay out of overdraft and pay off my credit cards and rent. It's not easy.

I don't think the warning expires. I think next time I violate the rules, it will count as a violation. I don't know. I think it's one violation and you're out, which is pretty harsh. I mean, on YouTube you get 3 strikes and you're out, and the strikes expire after 3 months.

And I feel like Kick's pretty strict nowadays. I mean, they banned Homeless.

I can't believe they ban homeless.

What's he gonna do for money now?

I thought Kick was supposed to be lenient.

I want to wish you a great Pog Day. I've got to tell you that Big Chungus sends his regards. Attention all sussy gamers. What did you do with Big Chungus? We know you're the sus imposter, and I saw you vent in electrical. Crisis in Plotland! Big Chungus has launched a military coup, and only you can stop him.

Why is Nigel Farage doing those cameo things? Is it to go viral, or is it to make money?

It can't make that much money, does it? I don't know, I mean, a lot of actors like that

Hank guy from Breaking Bad did them as well, didn't he? Maybe it does pay well.

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Where's everyone tuning in from today?

That's nice.

So nice and good.

嗯。

嗯。

gray crayon again today. And let's just do this real quick. It is always a useful exercise to come in with the 50% opacity crayon to illustrate our look above and fail, right? Our look above and fail could always be on the table, something that comes into the range high and rejects. So I'm just going to use a

continuation of the consolidation breakout path that we've already outlined. So you look above happening here, right? A little bit of a look above. If you fail back down underneath, I'll put the levels in in just a second with the cyan crayon, 67.97, you're probably talking about mean reversion to the midpoint of the range. That could also establish

a short, right? So let's just do something that looks like this, and we'll come in with all of our crayons, all of our numbers, and we'll get the job done from that perspective. Here we go, and here we go. We're gonna flip to the green crayon, green crayon here. Green crayon here, green crayon primarily here first, green

crayon here. That's pretty much what I would be thinking about for today's session. Of course, beyond the previous day's high, you could track this. It's very close. It's a little bit, uh, you could use it as a reference. Let me drop that in there real quick as a point. Coming here with 812.25. Let me just label this

with overnight. All-time high because that's what it is. And there we go, we have an overnight all-time high that is in need of repair. So to speak, from back over here, remember, markets should not make all-time highs in the after hours. They should make all-time highs in the regular trading hour session. So this is what we've got

going on inside of the ES. The other thing that I would point out here, and probably just use the gray crayon for, is if we bounce off of previous day's low and just balance in here, not interested Not interested. Wouldn't touch it with a 90-foot pole. And again, don't ask me how I carry around a 90-foot pole.

Totally avoid grass. Go swim in the ocean, go swim in the pool, whatever you got going on. Run a marathon, bike a triathlon, um, I don't know, cook a 5-course meal, uh, whatever you want to do. Anything but trade that range is probably the approach that I'm going to take. You can even check in with Mr. G

and say, hey, You know, we're getting balanced right now. You got any more of those red hot— you got any more of those red hot chili peppers? Can you just hook me up with a little pepper? Right, so do something. Do something other than staring at screens and just blasting the ES all day. Just easy does it.

So it's coming with the cyan crayon. Now that we've got a rough roadmap of what we're looking for. Let's label these roadmap pivot points. So up here at the all-time high, basically we're really dealing with— dare I just round it off— 6810. Why not? Let's just use round numbers today. 6810 on Friday, that works for me. That's

that. This level in here, as we know, is 6797. 6797.

Okay, your overnight high is at 6790. I'm just gonna blast that right across the top. No, that doesn't look good. That really doesn't look good. Not gonna do that to you. I'll put it over here. 67.93. Hmm. This here, uh, this level is the midpoint of the range. It has been unchanged. If you wanted to track previous

day's low, I would not call you crazy. There is an hourly level that's slightly more appropriate to have on the low. I'm tracking the midpoint of the range here on the futures. I'm going to use, as we've been using lately, 6778. 6778 looks good there. Previous day's low is at 6760.

Bottom end of the balance range is 6750.

And then who remembers— we've gone through the quiz a couple of times, but it's Friday, let's have a little fun. Who remembers this little quiz? What's the next level below? What's after 67.50? Kind of— it's a decent ways away. Anyone have it offhand? 27. There it is, 67.27. Love it. 67.27.

Perfecto. That's it. That's it. Game over. Done with the ES pathing for this morning's session. Those are the name of the game. Those, these, this is the name of the game. What can we add here? We can add some Friday rules. It is a Friday. We should talk about Friday rules. So if you're not familiar with Friday

rules, well, buckle up because we've got a little insight for you. Let's start with Friday. Friday rules. There we go.

Rules. As we let this simmer, we will go through the rules. You can soak up the pathing, and this is very important stuff. So number one, if you are green, you want to keep it green, right? There's no reason to go out there and say, oh, it's all funny money, it's house profits, I'm just going to risk

everything I've made this week and blow it all on one trade because I think I'm going to get a grand slam. If you knew that, I would say, well, I guess you're— I probably wouldn't think that you're all that much of a professional when it comes to this, right? You know, there's different reasons. If your logic is,

oh, it's house—

because the setup is that good, and this is something that you have to know about your strategy independently, and you end up risking your entire week's profits, but it's because the setup was so good, because your expected value was so high for this particular trade, that's a different story. But if you take the approach of funny money,

house money, and ask, whatever, I'll just do whatever on Friday, terrible. Absolutely terrible. Guarantee you won't make it in the game very long. What's number 2? So it's simple. Pretty simple. When you're green, you keep it green. Pretty simple trades when they present themselves. Number 2 is if you're red on the week. So let's come in here

with our red crayon. If you're red on the week, you want to keep it what? As we know, what does this stand for? What's this R? If you're red on the week, you want to keep it not R for red. RE could also stand for red. Let's go. R-E-S-P-E-C-T. You want to keep it respectful. You want to

keep it responsible. You don't want to oversize your trades because you're all in down and dumps feeling like, oh, you know, I blew some trades this week. I'm not really performing that well. I'm doing that. I'm bummed out about all this different stuff. Just no way. Let that go every day.

Oh my God, I did it! I did it! Fucking genius! That only took 20 hours.

I gotta take a picture.

Hey!

Guys, look, I did it.

3 to 1 trader. You can actually capture all 3 of the planned risk reward. I can't believe it works. You might even end the week up 1R, which is really cool, right? That's the power of risk reward trading. It's easier said than done, but that's the power of it, right? You guys don't even say anything. And you're

like, fuck, my ears are so sweaty and I'm just going to do something stupid and I'm all All this different stuff. Let's say you're down 2R and all of a sudden you decide to 5x your size. Where's my congrats? Like, nope, I want to make back this and some and just blow it out today and it's going

to be an end-all be-all. You 5x your size, you lose. Now what? Now you're down 7R. You're down 7R. You're thinking about this all weekend long. You're, oh my God, I can't enjoy, you know, maybe some folks, you know, have to have Monday off or whatever. Markets will be open, so we'll be here. Uh, but maybe, you

know, you've got a weekend, yeah, you've got a dinner plan or whatever, some event. You're gonna be thinking about how you, you just, you blew it. You blew it big time because you decided to do something silly and revenge trade your very manageable— 2R is extremely manageable. All it takes is one good trade to get back from

that. You blow it on a 5x, you lose that trade. You know, obviously you run the risk. It's not really a risk, but, uh, well, actually it is a risk. Here's why. You run the risk of winning this trade, and let's just say that you trade that in a, in a 2:1 interval right now. All of a

sudden you're up 8R for the week if you win that, because a 2:1 on 5x risk is an R. So let's say you're up 8R for the week. Yeah, it's gonna look like a great week, but what's that gonna reinforce as a bad habit? Probably, you know, that gambling gambling mentality, probably, oh my God, look at me,

I've got this god complex, market god complex, and I'm the greatest. And I wouldn't be shocked. And I've done this, right? I've done this. So please don't think I'm speaking out of lack of experience. I've done the deal. I've 5x'd a trade on a Friday, and then I've sort of gone back and said, oh, look at me,

I'm untouchable, right? What do you do next? Oh well, I'm seeing the market so clearly, what am I gonna do? I'm gonna do it again. And you risk another, let's say like 6x. You keep sizing up your position on that Friday, and then what ends up happening? Eventually one of these trades loses, you add to the loser,

now you're in for 10x your original size, and the next thing you know your account's going boom. Sayonara, nice knowing you, right? So just understand the Friday rules, take good setups when they present themselves. We're not here to, you know, tell you what to do. I'm here to remind myself of good sound practices of risk management, not

doing stupid things, not putting the account in jeopardy because, oh, we went off the rails on a Friday, right? So if you're green, keep it green. That's kind of where I'm at for this week. Not really looking to, uh, go too much pedal to the metal, especially with an open. Remember that we're opening in range, just a

hair over value. We technically have bullish with a patient edge this morning, so these things are important.

There we go. Patrick Jam in the chat, $4.99. Friday rule: if you're, if you're, if you're green, pay yourself. It's payday. Keep your P&L safe. Yeah, I mean, Patrick brings up a good point, right? You have to remember, as a trader, you technically haven't made any money until it hits your bank account. If it's just realized profits

in the in the account. That's great, you can grow an account, but I mean, as again, if you're in that phase of being able to constantly withdraw, you should have a withdrawal schedule, right? Some, some method for consistent withdrawals. Make it real, put it in your bank account, and get the job done from there, right? Anyways, that

is your quick little overview of the Friday rules. That's what we've got going on for today's session. Reminder, we do have economic data It's the title of today's stream, so hopefully that's a reminder in and of itself. But we do have economic data being released at the 10 o'clock time frame. That is from the University of Michigan.

It does not mean that the market's going to go haywire, but I would think that the market experiences some degree of volatility on that just because it's been starved of economic data over the last week and a half or so. Okay, those are the pathing ideas. That is the game plan for this session. Remember what we are

in on ES. If you really zoom out here, if you really zoom out, you go to an hourly chart, you really don't want to do anything until you're at 6797 or until you're at 6750. I know it's a wide range, I know it's 47 points, I get it. There's probably things to do here for the astute trader,

but if you're someone who's really been struggling in this balance range, if you've struggled to find follow-through, if you've struggled to trade this market, if you find that you're just getting paper cuts back to back to back to back, just let the range do its thing and wait for 6797 and wait for 6750. That's it, right? Don't

get all tangled up in the midpoint of the range. What's one of our classic sayings, a classic rule? Don't fiddle in the middle, don't enter in the center, don't exchange in the range. Just don't do it. If you're struggling in this market, if you've gotten all sorts of chopped up in yesterday's balance midday, just don't exchange in

the range. There will be better setups, right? Okay, that is it for the ES. And speaking of better setups, the NQ is about 10 times better, and I'll show you why in just a second. We of course have to hit the SPY cash ETF, but for now, this is, uh, where we'll leave it off on the ES.

We'll hit the SPDRs. I'll take a sip of coffee and then we'll get into the NASDAQ. Here we go.

Awesome. Perfect. 3, 2, 1. Boom. SPDRs Cash ETF. What do we see over here? Great view on the hourly timescale. When we're zoomed out like this, it's abundantly clear, right? You can see the charts with so much more clarity when you just zoom out and get off of the microsecond chart. And I fall victim to this every

now and then too. I get, you know, a little too penciled into the 2-minute chart looking for trade setups, and I'm like, hang on a second, I'm not even near a key level yet. So the hourly chart always does a fantastic job of grounding you in the reality of where you're at relative to market structure. Where are

we opening? We're kind of opening right around in here, right? So what would that suggest? We're towards the upper half of the balance range, but we really haven't broken out of the balance range yet. The key level, right, the equivalent basically of that $6,797 is right here at $6,7250. If we can get and stay above $6,7250, target

the previous day's high, overnight high as well. A little bit more precise here on the SPY versus what we have in ES. So that's 60— uh, sorry, $6,7405. $6,7405 on an upside target should we get Rivian Gold out of range— not out of range, but really out of balance. Previous day's range high is the target, so we're

not out of range. Yet, but 672.50, 674.05 is your upside. If you rally reject top end of the range, mean reversion might be A-okay. You can look for sort of look above and fail, lower high back underneath 672.50, targets the midpoint, targets this area down here. That's not all that unreasonable. That would work. I wouldn't call you

crazy. Your risk-reward might look something like this. Also, you're getting short towards the top end of the balance, which is clearly prior resistance, prior Resistance, prior resistance. If we just reject it again, that makes quite a bit of logical sense, right? If the market just goes opening drive and we find ourselves here, that's that uninteresting situation we

just talked about over on the ES. If we find ourselves underneath previous day's low, again, there might be a scalp from point A to point B, but at point B, I certainly reevaluate. Okay, it's bottom end of the range. I probably want to look long here. Not sure. Just like up here, you could look for possible shorts

on a failure pattern. I would look for longs on a failure pattern off of 667.25, keeping the hourly trend neutral in this box here. Okay, the hourly trend more concretely falls down when and if we get this lower high underneath 667.25. So that is where we reserve the bear case. Reserve the bear case for the lower high

under 667.25. That's it. Okay, there it is. SPDR's cash done. Levels are leveling. The chart is crystal clear on this hourly chart. Once again, if you've been getting chopped up in this range, if you're like, oh my God, the roller coaster is unbearable, just wait. Just don't do anything in this box. Wait patiently for this and wait

patiently for this. There's nothing wrong with that. That's probably the most responsible way to trade this range.

B-Dawg with the $19.99 in the chat. Thanks for the Friday rules. My Friday is to enjoy life and not giving it back to the market. Yes, indeed. That's it. That is— that's mostly it. I would say that's a great expression of Friday rules. I don't want to give back money to Mr. Market, as, uh, as dubbed. I

just want to look for a good setup. I want to take a good setup if it presents itself, and I want to move on on with my session. I want to start thinking about the weekend. One thing that, you know, the more you're in this game and the more you sort of get really, I guess, sort of

just pinned into the intraday stuff, you're watching these charts and sometimes it's stressful and whatnot. Like, at the end of the week, I don't know if you guys feel this way, but I'm just drained. I'm like, wow, it's been, it's been a lot of staring at charts. There's been reasonable amounts of stress all through the week. And

like, my goodness, it's, it's not, it's not really, you know, an easy thing to do. If the markets were open like all the time, I would— you would have to take a break. You just could not physically just be at the desk sitting in a chair looking at this all the time. It's draining. It is draining. So,

you know, Fridays are these days where I look to wind things down rather than wind things

That is what we've got there. Did it? Oh no, wait, what? Did it? Ha ha! Look, did it? The NASDAQ four hour is actually a little bit cleaner than the ES. So if we're looking for long trades today, I think the ES would be the place to look, and I'll tell you why in just a second here.

Obviously the 4-hour trend remains in the upward direction, but what you'll notice is that we're actually not in as much of a balance up at the top end, right? This breakout on Wednesday made a more meaningful higher high. We talked about this yesterday and it's still in play. We're carrying it forward again in today's session. This higher

high gives us a much clearer trend to the upside instead of operating in this balance range. Oh, a little look above and failure all the way down here. Easy.

Trying to consolidate over these prior highs, and we'll go down straight to the hourly chart fairly quickly today because I think that this echoes a little bit of what we talked about over in the ES. But I want to do it again here. Remember, we had a two-day breakout high, one and two from back here. The NQ

looked under that, and once again, put yourself in. This is the most powerful frame that you can use. Okay, we're trying to figure out. Okay, what's going on? See how quick I can do it now. A good idea. It's a bad idea. Just put yourself in the shoes of either side of the trade. It doesn't matter. Watch

my scale. I could pretend to be a long, I could pretend to be a short. Let's do both. Let's say that because yesterday coming into the bell we were bullish, let's put ourselves in the shoes of long first. Okay, a little bit disappointed on the breakdown of this level here and probably not thrilled with the acceptance underneath,

but then the end of day comes and we're like, okay, hang on a second, we're back above above that key level, maybe there is a second wind here for the market. Maybe that was just an overshoot of the key level. So if you're long, you're kind of coming into the open today feeling like, you know, not great

because there was this big overshoot yesterday that didn't hold perfectly, but you're probably not totally bummed out. You're probably thinking, okay, this is maybe another chance up and over the highs, right? Now take the opposite approach and put yourself in the shoes of a seller. And we did this over on the ES, right? We'll do it again

here on the NQ. If you're a seller, you're like, oh my God, look at this, it's the end of the world. I want to see a lower high here and I want to see this breakdown. And oh, that's right, the market closed up here and we're in a 4-hour uptrend and the hourly chart broke out on Wednesday

and we have a higher high and we're trading near all-time highs and the semiconductors are on a tear. Okay, you do that and all of a sudden it's like, as a seller, seller, you're probably not all that thrilled about this end-of-day rally here that's accepting over the 2-day high from back over here. So that powerful frame is

to just understand that who has the edge, who has the gift. We haven't talked about the gift in the morning session in a very long time. Capital T, capital G, trademarked, registered, and copyrighted. The lawyers were all over this one in, I'd say, probably early 2025. They were putting paperwork through on this one. The gift— who has

the gift? Buyers have the gift this morning, and it's up to them to take that gift and run away with it via some sort of breakout that looks like that. Show me some attempt over the 2-day high, 1 and 2, and then let's get rocking and rolling into blue sky territories. If they fail, if the gift has

to get regifted back over to the sellers, fine, we'll take that approach and let lent enough to get this, and then probably more intense when this happens. That's where the short actually is. Okay, so let's go to the 15-minute chart. Let's ask ourselves the 3.5 questions quickly. Uh, we do have 8:48 on the clock. We're doing fine

on time. We've been doing really great on time with none of this 8:30 data that we have to wait around for. It's fantastic. So actually, the government wants to say shut down, no problem. It's going to keep us, uh, on track in these morning sessions. Anyways, 15-minute chart is opening in range. 15-minute chart is opening over value.

We're opening towards the midpoint of the overnight range, so we'll go neutral there. And the overnight inventory is, survey says, probably about the same as the ES, where you've probably neutralized a little bit, noting that we're just opening right at the settlement. Let's go out on a limb and just say something like 60%. 60% net long. All

right, so what does that tell us for this morning's session? NL, there we go. Probably that the buyers have the gift. Nothing we couldn't already tell from what we just walked through on the hourly chart, which is great. The one thing that I will call out here is just the fact that yes, this is such a clean

level at 240, right? This is 240. That level has not changed. We'll come in with the simplified pathing in a second, but take a look at value area high. Value area high from here, that is sort of midday. We were watching these double bottoms form, right? And they obviously did not break necklines, but over that neckline, over

that that pivot high, if you consolidate here, you don't have to go to 240. That is also incredibly bullish over value area high at 278. 278. So what's the idea here? Well, I want to go actually to the QQQ and show you the daily chart before we talk about the idea in the NQ futures. The structure, of

course, is the same, but the visual is slightly cleaner on the Q's. All I want to show you is this inside hammer, 3-bar play over the highs, that is a pretty classic setup. That is about as classic as it gets. If we can get the move over the 2-day high, we are looking for range expansion in the

upward direction. The NQ futures are the same thing. Here's your solid green-bodied bar. Let's just draw it in real quick. There's your solid green-bodied bar. Here is yesterday's hammer to come in like so. Here's yesterday's hammer over this 2-day high right here. Right. That is where we want this. That looks pretty darn good. As a matter of

fact, I think I might leave this for our pathing, or at least redraw it. Let's redraw it a little bit here just so we can see some of these references. And that'll be a nice look here. Do a little bit of this. Let's come back in with the green bar. Let's come back in with the red bar,

and then we'll come in with the simplified pathing. This— there we go. So those are your daily superimposed structures. And then if we come in with the flat top, right, this level will be critical. And so our simplified pathing is this: if we get this consolidation, I would remain bullish. I would look to brigade both and target

the overnight all-time high, which is unrepaired. Remember, this is unsecure. Beyond that, it's blue sky territory, of course, new highs. If we were to pull back a little bit, that's fine. I would still give some opportunity for respect I could probably see the long happening there. I would reevaluate at the 2-day high. I would think that this

gives us 2 metrics for either this or of course— uh, no, I went wrong that one. And say nope, maybe that's where we get a reversal and it's where stronger downside comes in. You're probably not, uh, really all— at least I'm not all that concerned about this path here. I'd be much more neutral through this. Oh, I

don't like the way that it's going so far. Let's try a little bit cleaner. Oh yeah, there we go, much cleaner. I'm not really interested in that. I would say that the bears have it going on. If we were to sweep the hammer low, that's where this thing opens up. That's where it opens up. You're talking about

further downside, and the downside level is kind of a ways away at 0.025. All right, 0.025 is that next spot. So let's come in with the cyan crayon. Let's label this stuff. This is 160. If you know you want to split hairs with me, we've been using 160 The exact low of day from yesterday is 160. You

want to use that. This is 240 still, so change to 240. This value area high is worth carrying forward today. This is 278. You have your multi-day high as well up here at 335. I'll say 335. There we go. Overnight all-time high unrepaired is at 395. There we go.

And your downside target here is 0.25, is the big level up there. Okay, so that's your simplified pathing there. We can throw a couple of dots on here, why not? Why did Hassan shock his dog? Longs off of the midpoints. Uh, very nice, is it? Blue skies, longs happening here. That's kind of the way I would see

that side. And if we go over to the red crayon. Just throw that on. That's, that's a little bit more of a minor trade, uh, and then this is the major. That's the major short, that big red dot. For that one, we will certainly acknowledge the failure of the hourly trend if we get that big red dot.

Okay, so that is what we've got out of the NQ, Nasty NASDAQ, the Wild West of the market for this morning's session, and we'll take it from there as we continue along. Those are the numbers. Those are the numbers. Top Boy Productions with the $1.99 in the chat. We've got ourselves— if we have time to review GD,

General Dynamics shorts, maybe, um, we'll maybe take a look. But I don't know, I— General Dynamics has not been on a watch list of mine for probably a decade. Um, doesn't mean that there's nothing good happening with the the chart, but we'll take a look. We'll take a look. Okay, sip of coffee, proof, cues, small caps, then

through the core list of companies and some additional high-volume scans. Let's take a look.

All right, let's, uh, let's clear this up in a 3-count. 3, 2, 1, clear. Gone. Let's jump into our QQQ. Same story, obviously it's the same structure, just different things. Hourly chart, and let's see what we have here. So you can make the argument that the true hourly level should be previous day's low, and you probably should

have some reference point there. I'll be watching the low of day as that, but for now what I want to know is, does this pullback support over?

I hate getting overly level happy, but there are just a couple of reference points that I would probably want on the screen just as some some helpers. I mean, they're not going to make or break anything, but that would be the equivalent of value area high and this is prior day low here.

So not the worst thing in the world. I'm— I feel a little level happy about it, but I really like 609 as the better indication as the multi-day high here. I want to make sure that the market holds above that first and foremost. Like, that's the more important of the levels there. So what I might do just

as a reminder for myself is actually bump this Like that. I was, I was a little torn on how to draw the chart yesterday, but I think that's what I'll settle on seeing it now again this morning with the overnight action. The overnight action was different, maybe slightly different, but for now, main ideas: consolidation here, brigade bolts

to blue sky territories, rock and roll, all set, looking for upside. Let's go ahead and map the overnight high here as well. I think we do. Let's see if this doesn't break with Thinkorswim. Sometimes it does when you drag these panes around.

All right, overnight all-time high is there. Let's call that 613. A couple pennies never hurt anybody on the NASDAQ. Let's go OFATH, all-time high, overnight all-time high on the right. Good, good, good. Let's just call that perfect.

Yeah, I guess a couple of pennies did hurt someone. Let's just go 90. I guess rounding down would have been better though. Let's go 613. 12.9. Perfect, that's better. So let's shift this back over to its rightful position, and let's actually just reset and go over to the cues again. There we go. Now that we've got those

level updates, so what's the name of the game? Very simply put, right, it's exactly what we just had here to target the overnight all-time high. Beyond that, blue sky territories. Of course, if we do pull back a little bit deeper, I would not Fret, do not fret, young one. If we are above 609, 609 actually should not

even be— yeah, 609, that is it. If we are underneath 609, I'd start to become a little bit more neutral. And then again, your stronger short is probably underneath prior day low into this. I do need to bring up as well the daily 20. I don't know why this is It never saves for me as the default

study set, but there it is. It's down here. It's not quite going to be in play if we do start this breakdown underneath prior bar low. Okay, so keep an open mind to under 607.85 leading to some downside there based on the 20 being much further away. You could easily come into this 601.65. Now here's something interesting.

Here's an interesting tidbit that I will share. The hourly trend has much more an opportunity to flip to down considering that we've gotten this breakout on Wednesday in the NASDAQ versus the S&P is what I'm referring to. So if the hourly trend does flip to down, let's just say that this looks like some sort of double top

in hindsight, hourly trend flips to down here, what does that mean can happen at this level here? Anybody who's been following along the higher time frames, anybody who's been following along the Trade Brigade methodology, what does it mean if we get an hourly downtrend for the Daily chart. Anyone have the answer in the chat? I'll let this

simmer for just a quick second. We don't want to spend too much time on it, but if the hourly trend flips to down, what does it mean can happen at the daily 20 this time around?

Who has it? Jonathan's got it. Amy S has it. Fuya has it. Nick Farrell has it.

Rasselhafter. Rasselhafter has it. Yes. Yeah, firm higher low. Everybody who's saying a firm higher low, a DHL shipment, absolutely. I love it. You get a firm higher low instead of just having a soft higher low and just kind of like these equal lows in a balanced range on the hourly. If the hourly trend actually flips to down,

that's actually constructive for the daily chart, and we could set a firm higher low off 6,065. And wouldn't that be something if it happened next week or something like that, early on Monday or so, with the daily 20? Again, I don't want to— we talked about this in the Wednesday midweek market update video. If you didn't watch

that, it's a great exercise in what not to do in terms of conjuring up bearish, oh my God, Armageddon situations. But if this were to happen, then this is kind of what I would be thinking about towards the level. How do we set a daily Higher low. All right, that's the QQQ. We know the levels, we know

the numbers, we're all set here on the NASDAQ. Let's jump on over to the— oh, I messed it up again. Through with what's going on in smalls. Uh, 4-hour chart to start. 4-hour chart to start for Babor. Perfect balance happening here, but really starting to parse this level out as well, uh, as the low from this prior

bar in here. I'd be a little bit more neutral and primarily focus on the conjoined twins pattern neckline. Remember, it's the double top that then turns to a double bottom, shares a neckline. As long as you're above this, you're at worst neutral, at best bullish up here. I would not change my tone to being bearish on small

caps or the S&P until we have this. The higher time frame is sort of unchanged on small caps. We take a look at the hourly time scale and have a peek at the chart here. You could see the reclaim, the recapture of this low is actually quite stable through the overnight. As long as we could stay over

85, 2485 on the Russell this morning, I would tend to be more bullish than bearish. Of course, we're able to over the overnight range high, target prior day high, bullish. That looks kind of funky with the, the 8's not connected. Let's try to fix that a little 5, a little connection there. So that's your upside. The downside

would just be if you fail this, I wouldn't be outright bearish the S&P, but I would certainly start thinking more about downside pressure should we fail previous day's low. These are all inside bars relative to Tuesday, right? Inside bar on Wednesday, inside bar on Thursday, all relative to this Wednesday range here. So if we're going to break

the 3— now, you know, what could be 4-day range Then you're looking at something underneath really Tuesday's low, not so much just this low. Excuse me, not so much as well that 85 spot. Excuse me, uh, that we were just talking about. Okay, 15-minute chart doesn't really tell us a whole lot. We're opening in range, in value.

This is different than the S&P and the NASDAQ, so we're in value here, which means that the market's very content just balancing. This is where it's fair to transact, distribute the most amount of contracts. Therefore, I would say that this is where you want to lean long. This is neutral, and under priority is low. Starts to become

a little bit more bearish. Shift that slightly below 72 on the RTY. Wow! Excuse me. Got to take a sip. I'm sorry to do it in between segments, but have to do it.

All right, IWM. Let's take a look over at the cash side of the market. Market here. You can see that same low reference point right here. You can see how we're opening above it on the cash side. If we're over $245, looks good, right? This is our bullish box, this is our neutral box, this is our bearish

box. Keep it simple in small caps. We've been taking this approach recently and it's really been paying off in terms of just keeping the mental focus where it needs to be, not over-indexing on— I don't know how I did it 2 times, but now I can't do it again.

It's not— it doesn't move me. Something I'm doing at the end messing it up. It's worth understanding, but it does not move the needle. All right, Dev must be new here asking for Amazon. Uh, you know, it's Friday. I think we had our— we've had our allotment of fun yesterday with what we talked about in terms of

social awareness. But Dev, you must be new here, so first of all, welcome. Second of all, we get to Amazon in the order of the core listed companies. So now that we finish small caps, we can start our way through the core listed companies top down, and then we'll hit the high volume scanner and we'll get into

our opportunities there. So Kev actually is able to dodge the scathing welcoming message, uh, and instead just gets a very tame welcome. That's it. Welcome. Must be new here. Anybody who's not new knows that We will of course get to Amazon. Um, so we'll see you then. We'll, we'll, we'll get through the list. All right, so let's

start. Let's not delay it any further. Here we go. Nvidia's up first on the chopping block. What's going on with the one, the only Nvidia? We've got ourselves $194. Really, really— our brand new live trading floor in Bristol is open and you're invited. This is a 3-hour live trading event built for one thing. Real strategies, real tools,

real breakthroughs. With acceptance or not over 194. If we are not accepting over 194, I would be very lackluster, very neutral inside of this consolidation range, not really expecting a whole heck of a lot of anything. That is where I would just let the market balance. If Nvidia wants to come in and close the gap, that's also

okay. I would be open-minded to this on the long side. Right, show me that higher low gap fill reversal. That's where I want to start participating on the long side after a pullback. Okay, video looking good. Pre-market looks pretty good. That— oh, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, you can't jinx it like that, I guess. Did anybody see that?

As I drew the arrow, we got this little flash of volatility. Looks a little bit like a phantom wick. Maybe the market makers are tuning into the stream. Maybe they're just totally, you know, dialed into every word that comes out of my mouth, but But my goodness, did not like that. Uh, as long as— let's see, we're

pressuring that 194. As long as consolidation's high and tight, I would look to go with on a break over 194. Okay, that is NIBDA. Let's take a look at Microsoft. Microsoft's a slow burn. We know it's a slow burn. It has its moments, but it's been a slow burn recently. So if it's going to build out, right,

I really like the prospect of being very patient on this and just looking for this slow little drifter back in the upward direction, right? So pay attention to Microsoft on holds over $522.35. Sets the trade up over the neckline, $525.25. Probably some kind of trend reversal after the pullback. If you wanted early entries on this higher low

hold, I wouldn't call you insane there. Risk-reward, uh, we've been talking about this in the group a little bit. I'll just give you a little insight here. You know, one of the things I need to remind myself of more often than I don't is you don't necessarily need to do it with options every single time. You can

do it with shares and you could be okay. So if you want to structure a trade however you want to structure a trade, right, not bad. That's Microsoft, looking for the grind on the reversal. Nice pullback into the top of the range, looking for the continuation now if we can get out of this little reversal pattern. Okay,

that's it. Let's move along to Apple. There's really nothing to say on Apple until either of these 2 alerts go off. Here you've got over the all-time high, blue skies, or under this thin structure. I would probably reserve this trade here for next week. That way, like today, if we were to just get bearish consolidation on the

lows here, that's fine. And then a break of the daily 20— if all of this can happen next week early, that would be great for the thin structure retracement, right? This is the thin structure retracement I'm talking about. Under the daily 20, gap close first target. Beyond that, $241.25. Apple slowing down here. It was hot on the

iPhone 17 release. Now it's real cold, real, real cold. We're entering winter, literally, and, uh, Apple is not playing along. That's that. Let's take a look at Nancy. Here's Amazon, Dev. I didn't get to it. We get to it every time. Here's Amazon. Amazon looks great on this break to the upside, clearing the moving averages. I would

love to see consolidation here and break a bolt for continuation over $227.60. You can see this morning that's well within striking distance. Okay, do we get $227.60? Boom, something along those lines. Okay, that's the top watch there. If it does pull back deeper, I wouldn't really want to short through this thin structure. You can try it if

you're hell-bent on it. Fine, do whatever you want to do. But I would think the better opportunity is to try and get long. Ruined it. Staying over the top end of the range for another higher low. Right? You overshot here, and you get a more clean higher low at 224.25. God, this guy talks so much. Survey says

we'll have to watch intraday to figure that out. Next up is Google. Remember, we did see a Google headline this morning on the antitrust probe, or what was it? Search probe. The UK was trapped in trade. It went live, you know, behind the scenes. What was driving downside yesterday? You can see we've got this Stevie Wonder. I

mean, the lawyer, the lawsuits. There's no one to watch, uh, we could say, for trading. Over 242, thin structural retracement. Do you get the Stevie Wonder going in blind off the open? And apart from this stupid guy who never shuts up, the whole 9 yards, what you're doing here is you're risking your position size. You manage Risk

based on total dollars. It starts with an AI. Just early in the morning, you can just buy a handful of contracts, whatever number is right for you, right? You can go out there if you want to risk $100, go find a contract on the call side that's $100 or $1, right? Buy one contract. You want to risk

$500? Oh, I didn't do exercise.

Oh God, this guy shut the fuck up.

Hmm, okay, now this is the bit I struggle on. Don't understand why.

Ah, why does it do that?

I don't understand.

It worked before. I don't understand why it doesn't work now.

Okay, why it's so messed up?

What? That's wrong.

Okay, I

have— I flip these.

Messed up again.

Okay, then I get stuck here.

Oh, oh, oh, ah, I nearly

had

it. Something's going weird at the end.

Exercise done.

Again.

What?

Market tanking.

I'm down £11.

I might make some tea.

Oh, what? Fucking aloe vera plant fell over again.

Oh my God, I'm going to chuck that fucking thing in the bin. I don't know who the Fuck bought me an aloe vera plant.

Stupid thing fell over and there was dirt all over the carpet.

Chucking it out in the fucking garden. Second time this has happened now. Oh, this stupid thing falls over.

Oh my God,

all the fucking useless things people have to fucking buy me. Buy me a fucking aloe vera plant.

Annoying. I don't know why people keep buying me Shit, I don't even fucking want— now I've got to clean up all the fucking dirt out the carpet. Fucking hell, I'm gonna chuck the fucking thing in the garden.

No, third time this has happened now.

Fucking annoying.

It randomly falls over for no reason.

I'll do it tomorrow.

When's Powell speaking? It's not Powell, is— isn't it economic data? But I thought the government shut down, so they don't have any data. Well, I think data is all really bad, but I don't know.

FOMC member Goolsbee speaks in 10 minutes, and then you got 10 AM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations in 25 minutes.

Well, Bitmine ripping.

We got red folder high impact news in 25 minutes.

Whoa, whoa, Bitmine repping!

It's ripping, guys! Holy shit, are

you watching this?

It rips!

I'm up £20.

Damn, stocks and shares ISA looking good.

I'm gonna be rich.

Look, £570 up.

I have, uh, I put £1,000 in Bitmine. I'm up £155. £5.

Bitmine ripping.

I'm long Bitmine Immersion Technologies and I'm long gold. Try short gold then. Oh my God, I'm up £8 long NASDAQ! Oh,

I just— it just triggered my take profit for £10.

Fuck, I shouldn't have triggered that. I forgot I put a take profit.

Ah,

why did I put my take profit there? I didn't think it was going to explode like that.

Damn it, I'd be up £15 if it didn't trigger my take profit.

Ah,

I was lying. It triggered my £10 take profit and kicked me out.

It's funny, the one time I was in the right trade and I, I kick— get kicked out because of my take profit. I don't— completely forgot I put my take profit so low.

Better tank now. Maybe it tanks when that Fed member speaks.

Maybe I'll go long again.

Whoa,

Bitmain's ripping!

If it gets back to 65, I'll be up £250.

Now that's a ripping. Oh, I'm up £180. Bitmine

Battlefield 6. Yeah, but it's gonna take ages to download, isn't it? How big is it?

Why can't they have a demo? Where is it?

Powerful 6.

Where's the file size?

55 gigabytes. That's not much.

Um, and

1 hour.

Who the fuck wants to play campaign?

Who the hell's playing campaign? Imagine the story mode of Battlefield. There's a war, you must deactivate the nuclear button,

you must assassinate the leader,

you must rescue the president. Who cares? Why'd they even bother making a campaign?

Yeah, I mean, I could try it.

Standard edition.

I've got to put money into my Revolut then.

Imagine I like it and I don't return it.

Payment approved. Install your content.

As an avid fan of Battlefield, and FPS shooters in general, I knew I just had to play this game.

I can't believe I got triggered out of my long—

why the hell did I put my take profit there. It's probably gonna go for those equal highs.

I don't know, I need, um, 40,000 views for it to pay for itself like the Silksong video did.

But unless it gets picked up by the algorithm, it's just gonna get like 200.

I might go long again, just with half.

I'll go long again, half, half the port, half the account long, and then if it doesn't work out, I'll put in the other half long.

Okay, I'm 100% short and 50% long.

Uh, Bitmain tanked. Oh my God, Bitmain just ripped and tanked it all back. It's like it just ate all its food and puked it all up again. What's the fucking point?

Can I install it now?

No, I can't.

Oh wait, I can.

71 gigabytes, says estimated 2 hours 40 minutes. Not bad. My internet here is way better than my mum's internet. I got 50 megabits download At my mum's it was like 20.

It's saying 2 hours 40 minutes.

Whoa, it's ripping! I'm up £2.50.

My next take profit zone is at £5. I'm up £3.

What's TPM?

I need

to get a new laptop.

Or just get a desktop.

Oh, that Fed member's speaking now, isn't he?

How do I fix this?

Burn! Not like that.

How do I flip this round? I need that one to go somewhere.

I don't know. I need this one to go—

maybe if I twist it around, it's supposed to go there.

And then this one's supposed to go there.

How do I get that one to go there?

I don't know how to figure out myself. I need to follow steps.

Oh God, I'm down 12 pence. Market's tanking.

Oh God, it's tanking. Oh no, I'm down £2.

Oh, I'm down £3.

Bit mine tanked.

What the hell was that?

It'll probably take all day to get back up there. What's my battery?

15%. Plug

it in.

Oh God, I'm down 4 pounds.

Now I messed it

up.

嗯。

What?

6 gigabytes downloaded.

Oh, Bitmain tanking. Holy fuck.

Economic data in 2 minutes.

I'll watch a tutorial again. I always get stuck here.

So if you've never solved— so every corner is in the right spot now, and so once you get to this step, you should turn everything upside down. So get all these corners in the bottom layer, And now we're just going to solve them one by one, but make sure you pay attention to how this works, because if

you make a mistake, you could mess up the whole cube. Okay, so we're going to start by solving the bottom right corner. So we're going to do those 4 moves with our right hand until this one is solved. So, 1, 2, 3, 4, and there it is, it's solved. So once you've done that, then solving the bottom

right corner. So we're going to do those 4 moves with our right hand until this one is solved. So, 1, 2, 3, 4, and there it is, it's solved. So once you've done that, then start doing the next corner, but make sure you bring the next corner over by turning the bottom layer. Don't rotate the whole cube

or you'll mess things up, so just turn the bottom layer over to get the next corner and then repeat.

And now that one's solved, so bring over the next one.

Repeat. This one solved. Bring over the next one,

and then there you go. Much

Oh,

I did it! Third time.

Genius. I'll go a bit more in tanking.

2 hours until Battlefield 6 is downloaded.

Okay, now do it again.

Okay,

go.

Hey,

easy! Did it! I think I cracked the last bit. You've got to do it clockwise, so you, you go from one corner, fix that, and twist it, twist it for the next one.

Wow, I can't believe I learned how to do Rubik's Cube.

Now I want to master this one and then try another way, maybe next time. I think I got it.

So here's how I do it. So first you get the white dot at the top and you want the yellow dot at the bottom. Now you want white cross around the yellow, so I go like this. So you see that's white, it's on the wrong edge. I need to get it onto that side. So you do this

to get it onto the other side. So I've got 1 white, 2 whites, and then you want to get the other whites, the white edge one there. So I just bring that round and then flip that one too.

Wait, where'd it go? I lost it. I did it wrong.

Where'd he go? Oh, there it is.

Yeah, so I've got 3 whites around the yellow dot.

And 3 is all you need. So then what you do is you then get the color next to the white, so this one's orange, so you get that lined up with the orange one, and then you twist it all the way around so it matches the top white one. And then do the same with the other ones.

So that one's a white and a blue, so you twist the bottom bit around until you get the middle blue bit, so you've got 2 blues. You twist that all the way around, and then you get this white bit, it's got the green, and you twist that to the green all the way around. And then you got

the last edge white bit, which is there. And then go to the edge, go to there, line up with the red.

Okay, so now you got the white cross,

and then you do the corners of the whites. So you got the whites are up there, so you need to flip them around.

So all these colors line up at the bottom.

This

one,

and this one goes

And this one. All right, so now you got all the whites and then all the colors around the bottom layer. And then you do the second layer like this. Twist and away, and then

twist it back in.

And blue goes in and red

Red is here, goes green,

and then this goes there. And then you make the yellow cross by going up, no, this way,

and back around, and then like that.

What? Messed it up.

Where'd it go? Stupid white one's gone.

Okay, green, orange. Oh, it's all matched up already. And then

These gotta line up.

Oh, and then they go— this is the trickiest bit.

And then swivel it.

Hey, did it again! Easy!

Rubik's Cube master!

Wow, I can't believe it was so hard. Now it's so easy. I don't understand.

It's crazy. It seems so difficult in the beginning.

7x cube, no thanks, because then you say, oh, get a 20x cube, get a 100x cube, it gets silly, doesn't it?

Hey, I did it again!

Easy!

Ah, I have conquered the Rubik's Cube!

2 hours until Battle 6— Battlefield 6 download.

Again.

Oh, I messed it up.

Orange,

green,

blue.

嗯。

I stood up

again. Just staying with the last bit doesn't work.

No, I messed it

up. Ah, fucking hell.

Mom and I can never pee together without trouble. You're manipulative and you know it. Let's move. In today's video, I want to tell you about the newest trend in investing that's been making people a lot of money. It's called the debasement trade. The debasement trade means that you are betting against the US dollar. Essentially, if you're in

this trade, then you believe that the US dollar will devalue, not relative to other currencies, but rather devalue against real assets. In other words, you believe that each US dollar is going to lose purchasing power. So what investors have been doing is buying gold, silver, and Bitcoin to protect themselves financially from the rapidly devaluing dollar. So here's

a quick look at what we're going to be covering in today's video. First, I want to expand upon what is the debasement trade, and then I'll share with you my thoughts on is it too late for you to participate in the debasement trade and what would I do right now. Now let's begin by better understanding the debasement

trade. So why would someone believe that the US dollar will lose purchasing power? Well, I would say it's mainly for 2 reasons. The first thing is that the intrinsic value of fiat currencies is zero. So if you think about it, I mean, these US dollars are backed by nothing, literally nothing. They're just worthless pieces of paper. Actually,

they're cotton, linen, or now digital. And the second thing is that the federal government, the central banks, and the banks, they've been printing trillions of dollars. The M2 money supply is at a record high, and you can bet your bottom dollar that they're going to print more money. I mean, look at the chart for the past 65

years and do you notice a trend? Like I do. Essentially, as they print more money, the fiat currency devalues, which causes inflation. I just want to show you this chart of the price of gold. It's around $4,000 a troy ounce right now. 30 years ago, 1 ounce of gold was at $380. Today it's inflated all the way

up to here. I just want you to understand that gold going from $380 an ounce to now $4,000 an ounce is not because gold has become more valuable. No, if you had 1 ounce of gold back in 1995, then 30 years later in 2025, you still have 1 ounce of gold and it didn't change. The price of

gold has been rising because it now requires more devalued dollars to buy an ounce of gold. That's, that's the true story. That's what's been going on. So it's not the value of gold that's going up, it's the value of the dollar that's going down, which is causing the price of gold to go up. This is called asset

price inflation, or you can call it the debasement trade, where the currency is getting debased. The situation is that People are expecting governments, central banks, and banks to continue printing more and more fiat currency and expand money supplies. Okay, why? It's because we are in a global debt bubble. The only way to keep the charade going is

to print more money. You can do the math, but to verify the mathematics, let's ask ChatGPT. Okay, so you can ask Chat how long Will it take the U.S. government to pay back $38 trillion of debts if the U.S. government overspends by $2 trillion a year? And take a look at the answer for yourself. ChatGPT says that

it would never be paid back. I mean, it even bolded the never so that we don't miss it. ChatGPT says that the debt would actually grow larger every year. Each year, instead of paying anything down, the government adds another $2 trillion in new debt. So the only solution is to print more money, and that debases the currency.

That's why gold has recently hit a record high of $4,000 an ounce. Investors are looking for a safe haven from all this money printing. That's why silver has been soaring to record highs. That's why Bitcoin has recently hit new record highs. People are realizing that our overlords can print money, but they can't print gold, silver, or Bitcoin.

Now let's move on to the next question. Is it too late for you to get into the debasement trade?

Oh, hi, I'm Jerry from Curry's, and yes, I'm using telepathy, an efficient way to tell you about efficient tech like this Hoover ProWash series. So that's a very good question, but I want to ask you this. So this is a serious question for you. This is the M2 money supply over the past 65+ years, right? I mean,

take a look at the chart. Do you really think that they're going to stop the money printing? The only way to stop debasing the currency is to stop the printing. But if they do that, what's going to happen? The debt bubble is going to pop, and then we're going to get an economic crash. It'll be a guaranteed

economic depression. And then what would happen though? The politicians would get voted out, the politicians would lose their slush funds and their power, the Federal Reserve would be blamed, disbanded, and they would all lose their jobs. Now, do you think that that's what the politicians and central bankers want? And the answer is no, of course not. So

they're going to keep the circus act going for as long as possible and just print more money. So to answer the question, if you think that they're going to stop the money printing, then yes, it's too late for you to participate in the debasement trade. But if you think that they're going to continue printing money, then no,

it's not too late, and it's better late than never. And how high can gold go up? How high can silver go up? I think the better question to ask is how much money can they print? Now moving on, and we're going to just focus on today. Like, if you're in this situation where, let's just say you're late

to the game or you want to add to your current position, what should you do? Well, what you should do is— it depends on your personal situation, but I'll tell you what I would do. So let's answer this question: what would Brian do right now? I personally like to look for an asymmetric trade. Okay, so what does

that mean? Again, I brought chat to help out. What is an asymmetric trade? Here's how ChatGPT defines it: an asymmetric trade in investing refers to a situation where the potential upside significantly outweighs the potential downside. In other words, you're looking for a potential investment that is low risk and high reward. And I just want to tell you

that these are hard to come by. Silver was an asymmetric trade a year ago in could even say just, you know, a few months ago. So that's why I said that that was my favorite investment at the time. And silver has outperformed gold and Bitcoin year to date in 2025. But again, let's focus on now, right now.

Where is the asymmetric trade? Which one is low risk and high reward? What's the best investment opportunity, in my opinion, in this debasement trade? Here are my thoughts. Okay, gold right now, it's near $4,000 an ounce. With gold, if it's going to go up, it's going to grind up. Relatively speaking, it's going to be a slower climb

up. I believe that right now, in the debasement trade, gold represents the lowest risk and moderate return. In the debasement trade, I believe that silver is moderate risk and offers the highest potential gain. Okay, so here's my thoughts on this. Silver is higher risk than gold because of the silver slams. Now, if you're a silver investor, you

know exactly what I'm talking about. You can call it a technical term, the silver slams by the banksters. Fortunately, the slams have been short-lived and shallow in recent times, at least for now. And then you have Bitcoin in the debasement trade. I believe that Bitcoin is the highest risk and offers moderate return potential. Listen, I understand some

people are going to say that Bitcoin's going to the moon. That's great, I hope it does. However, there's a chance that it may not, or that it's going to lag gold and silver. Yeah, you have to keep in mind that year to date, Bitcoin is underperforming gold and silver, and that's with the entire media and the politicians

shoving Bitcoin down our throats. And listen, if you want to hype up Bitcoin with your stories about how you bought Bitcoin for $80,000 or $50,000 or $20,000 and you did amazing, I'll tell you, that's great. Now, I personally got it at $700, but the past is the past, and we're talking about the now and future performance from

here on out. And if you've been in prior BTC cycles and you know that Bitcoin is the most volatile and it could plunge plunge more than 10% in a few hours. It can go down 20 to 30% in a short window of time. You cannot deny that it's the highest risk into the basement trade. So to summarize,

at this very point in time, if you're looking for a clear-cut asymmetric trade with low risk and high return potential, I'm telling you, it's not available. That ship has sailed. Now listen, I want to be very clear about this. I am not saying that I wouldn't invest in any of these right now. For example, would I buy

gold right now? My answer would be yes, I would buy gold right now. I'm just saying that there's no clear-cut favorites in the debasement trade. However, here's my opinion. I believe that you can still find asymmetric trades in the gold mining stocks, and for that, you would not be too late. What I'm about to tell you is

very important, so I need to explain this. And here's the situation. Let's just say that gold is at $2,000 an ounce, okay? And let's say with the cost to mine for gold, the ASIC, all the general administrative costs, everything, all the expenses, let's just say it costs the company $1,500 to pull an ounce of gold out of

the ground, okay? In this scenario, what would be the profits. They could sell it for $2,000 an ounce and all the expenses are $1,500. The profit is $500 an ounce right now. If the price of gold doubles from $2,000 an ounce to $4,000, then the profit's not going to double. No, it's going to go up exponentially. So

the sales might double, yes, but the profit is going to more than double. So you can do the math. You sell for $2,000 and it costs $1,500, and that's a $500 profit. But if you sell it for $4,000 an ounce and it costs $1,500 an ounce, then that's a profit of $2,500. So sales doubled, but profit will

go up fivefold. Okay, but imagine if gold goes up to $5,000 an ounce or even $6,000 an ounce. Although Gold mining stocks have quietly been outperforming. There are a few good gold mining stocks that I believe are severely mispriced. On my Patreon site, I give you my favorites that you can buy on Robinhood or Webull. So the

reason why I'm saying that is because there are certain mining companies that are not available on those platforms, but I believe that right now that's the only way that you can get an asymmetric trade At this point in time, you need to identify which gold mining stocks are undervalued because the ETF for gold mining stocks, if you

look at the GDX, hey, already gone up by 133% year to date since 2025. But I just want to say that if, if that's not what you want to do, like if hunting for good gold mining stocks is not your cup of tea, Barrick Gold number one.

Debasement trade. I would buy a combination of gold and silver. If you want to be more conservative and defensive, allocate more towards gold. If you want to be more aggressive or have a higher, higher risk tolerance, I have mastered the Rubik's. Personally, I am not a buyer of Bitcoin with 100 IQ. I think a silver, uh,

that Bitcoin has a chance of doubling to $240,000. Now, in terms of when I plan to sell my silver, I already said that explicitly in this video, and I still stand by it. In terms of when I plan to sell my gold, I already said that explicitly in this video as well, and again, I stand by it.

Just say it again. I don't watch the fucking video. Keep you updated. Please subscribe. When's he selling his gold? Now I got to watch his other video about gold. Did you know that this— you could have just said it.

Why I'm buying gold.

I am investing in gold, so I'm stacking physical gold and I'm buying gold on the stock market. So this video is not sponsored, I just want to share with you what I'm doing. All in gold. So here's an overview of what we're going to discuss in today's video: why I'm investing in gold, how much that I believe

it's going to go up, when I would sell my gold, and the disadvantages of gold. But before we take this any further, I want you to notice— I like how boring his videos look. Like, it's just a guy in a shirt, and then his slideshows are like PowerPoint presentations. Like, the video is so boring. To look at,

but it's so interesting at the same time. It's really weird. I, I'm hooked on his videos, but they look so boring, which makes it funny. Okay, so when it comes to investing, I believe in— this is like tech slides. And honestly, I gotta tell you this, when it comes to financial security, gold is the asset that I

need. And his microphone sucks. It's like so echoing. Can't he at least get a proper mic? To worry the least about, and it gives me, I'd say, the most peace of mind. Okay, now let me tell you the key reasons why I'm investing in gold. So first of all, it gives me protection from inflation. It's also got

a proven history, and because of de-dollarization, the central banks are loading up on gold. So we're going to begin with inflation. So you know what, I want to start with this. I want to share with you what my view is on gold. So even though I say that I'm investing in gold, I personally don't view gold as

an investment. That's just the way I see it. So financial investing is when you commit your money to something with the expectation of getting a return. So usually it's going to be more money in the future. So if you're going to go by that definition, then I wouldn't classify gold as an investment. I see gold as a

store of value. So what I'm essentially saying is that if I purchase gold as a long-term holding, it's not going to make me rich. I'm just trying to keep it real with you. Its purpose is to preserve my wealth. So to be clear, I am not buying gold to try to get rich. I'm buying gold to preserve

my wealth from inflation. Now, I want to show you these stats. So if you look at 1980, I mean, believe it or not, the median price home in the US was $70,000, and the average price of gold in that year, 1980, was $614 per troy ounce. So basically, if you had 114 gold coins, that would buy you

the median price home in the US. And then if you take a look at right now, 2025, the median price home in the US right now is around $400,000, and the price of gold right now is approximately approximately $3,400 per troy ounce. So basically the math is if you have 117 gold coins right now, that buys you

the median price home in the US. So the purchasing power stays the same. Your wealth is getting preserved. It's being protected from inflation. That's what's going on. Again, I'm not hoping that my gold is going to make me rich. So listen, hypothetically speaking, let's say that you want to buy your child or your your grandchild or your

nephew or whatever family member, a median-priced home in the future. Okay, like you're that generous. So let's just say that you want to do that in about 20 years. In 20 years, what's the median-priced home going to be in the US in dollars? Like, if you ask me that, I'll tell you that I have no idea. Okay,

so why am I saying that? It's because I'm being honest, because inflation may run at 5% one year and then another year might run at 15%. So I don't know. But I'll tell you what, if you accumulate 117 gold coins, then you're going to have enough to buy that median-priced home for whoever you want in 20 years

or even in 30 years or even in 40 years. But I want to give you 2 quick disclaimers because I know some people are going to be very nitpicky about this. So the first one is that, okay, in my examples, it takes about 117 gold coins To buy a median-priced home in the U.S., but of course, yes,

there's going to be volatility and price fluctuations. So it may be 140 gold coins to buy the median-priced home in the U.S., or maybe you know 94 gold coins. So you yeah, it's not going to be perfect. So there's going to be ups and downs depending on a precise point in time.

What's that? 100 gold coins.

And the second thing is that gold is a store of value if you're holding it for the long run. But if you're talking about trading gold, like buying and selling, now that's a different story, of course. But that's not what this video is about. Now we're going to move on to another reason why I'm accumulating gold. It's

because gold has a proven history. Now I want to show you the recent track record of gold. So this chart shows the performance of gold when you compare it against the S&P 500. So against the stock market, if you invested $100 in gold 25 years ago, then you would have done better than investing $100 in the stock

market back then. Now, of course, this is just a recent example, but everybody knows that gold has stood the test of time. When people ask why gold, I would say that part of the answer is very simple. It's because it's always worked. So listen, when it comes to investing, trust is everything. And gold has earned that trust

not over the years, not just over the decades, but over thousands of years. From the pharaohs of Egypt to the emperors of Rome, civilizations have used gold as wealth for more than 5,000 years. And now it's the central banks. Which brings me to my biggest reason why I'm investing in gold. It's because the central banks are loading

up on gold. Central banks, the ones with the money printers, they're not buying crypto. Central banks are not buying silver. Central banks are loading up on gold. So naturally, this adds to demand and it pushes up the price. But you have to remember that central banks can always sell their gold. But for the past 15 years, central

banks have been net buyers of gold. And I would say that's no surprise after the GFC. But in 2022, '23, and '24, central banks have significantly increased their gold purchasing. So now if you look at the purchases by quarters, then you're going to see that Q1 of 2025 was in line with the past 3 years of heavy

buying. Now I want to show you the composition of global reserves. So this is essentially what central banks or governments are holding as their assets. The US dollar is the number one reserve asset. However, they don't hold actual U.S. dollars like physical cash. These are mostly U.S. Treasuries. So dollars, when you see that, it really means U.S.

dollar-denominated assets. So I've circled this in white for you, and it shows that dollars made up approximately 60% of reserve assets in the early 2000s, and now it's fallen to 46%. So that is a big drop. The second largest reserve asset is now gold. Gold. And the 3rd largest reserve asset is the euro. And this one represents

a combination of other currencies, which now accounts for 18% of reserve assets. Okay, so what is going on here for the past 2 and a half decades? Central banks and governments want to hold fewer dollars percentage-wise. So if you see, if you really see what's happening during this time frame, the euro and gold have actually not seen

much change. It's the other currencies that have been gaining. So central banks and governments, they're choosing to diversify their holdings at the expense of the US dollar. But you can make the argument that gold gained ground and then it retreated before, and that you can argue that gold is gaining favor right now, but the same thing could

happen again, right? Gold falls out of favor by the central banks. But then again, you can also make the argument that gold is gaining favor and the trend is just going to continue. Now, if you're going to ask me, like, my honest belief is that this trend of de-dollarization is going to continue because gold is going to

be considered a more, more of a safe haven asset than the US dollar. And I explain all of this in my Great Meltdown series, so I'm not going to get into that today. Going back to the purchasing activity of central banks, Will this large appetite for gold continue? So I'll tell you this: the World Gold Council is

the leading authority on gold markets, and according to their most recent survey, 95% of central bank respondents expect gold reserves to rise over the next 12 months.

Look at the market! I'm down £50 on my long.

What was that?

Holy shit.

Oh my God, look at the market. Holy shit. Whoa, my God.

I'm down £60 on my long, but my short is back at breakeven.

I went long at the top again.

What's gold doing? Gold's It's not really moving. Bitmain tanking. Holy shit, what

was that? Maybe I'll close that short out.

Unless it's going to bounce here.

God, look at the tanking.

It bounced exactly where my short is. That's so funny.

Maybe I get out of this short. Damn, my short is finally green. Holy shit.

Maybe I'll put in another long here.

Market's going crazy. What happened? What the fuck happened? Market's gone nuts.

I might go along here.

Look, he's going nuts, like bouncing up and down like a yo-yo.

What is going on? Are you looking at it? It's crazy.

It's like

Damn, gold's ripping. Gold is ripping. Fuck, what happened? Where's the news?

Is there any news?

Oh,

war's over. Is that why the market's tanking? Because the market likes war.

I don't know what to do. Like, I opened a long here, but do I close my short or keep the short open?

I'll close one of the shorts maybe.

I closed one of my shorts. It's probably gonna tank more then.

I'm long at the very top. I'm long right at the very top.

This is so funny.

I bet you it's going to keep tanking now. Maybe I'll reopen my short.

I bet it's going to keep tanking. I'm opening my short back up. My short's back in.

I just know it's going to tank now because I'm long at the all-time high.

This is so retarded.

I'm short at the bottom and long at the top.

Oh.

It's so stupid, it's funny.

A record 43% said that they plan to increase their own holdings during that time. Okay, so now I told you why I'm investing in gold, and we're going to move on to the next topic of discussion. How much is gold going to go up? I think that the better question to ask is how much will the US

dollar devalue? Please remember what we discussed. If you have 117 gold coins, you can buy a median-priced home right now in the US. If you have 117 gold coins, then you can buy a median-priced home in the US in 30 years. So how much is gold going to go up? Well, my answer is that it depends on

how much money that they're going to print. The more they print, the more gold's going to go up. So you must realize that gold is not going up in value. It's the dollar that's losing value, and that pushes up the price of gold denominated in US dollars. So if you're going to ask me how much money will

the US government, in conjunction with the Federal Reserve, print and devalue the dollar, the best that I can give you is an educated guess. Okay, so I understand that the CPI inflation reports, according to the US government, that inflation runs at about 2 to 3% a year. I think most people believe that that is a wild fairy

tale. Anyways, let's assume that inflation runs at 8% a year for the next decade. Then here's the math under that scenario. Then in 10 years, gold would go from the current $3,400 a troy ounce to $7,140, and that would be if gold tracked 8% inflation exactly. So in this scenario, you know, natural volatility could allow it to

go— for gold to go up to $10,000, right? Just based off the fluctuations. If inflation accelerates faster, then you can expect an even higher price for gold. And we're just talking about inflation. There could be circumstances outside of inflation that could push it higher than $7,140 in this scenario. Like what? Well, I would say there's the— there's

always the possibility of gold revaluation or an increase in purchasing activity from central banks or institutions or even investors. So maybe you can consider this as your baseline educated guess. Okay, now we're going to move on to my exit strategy for gold, when I would sell it. I will sell my gold when the US government learns how

to balance their budgets

Listen, I'm not trying to be funny. This is not a stand-up comedy channel. I'm being serious. I'll sell, I'll sell my gold when they balance their budget because that way they don't have to print trillions of dollars. Okay, when do I believe that the US government's going to learn how to balance their budgets? I believe that it's

going to be after the economic meltdown. If you want time frames, again, I'm gonna have to refer you to my Great Meltdown It will be the system failure and economic crash that forces our country to become fiscally responsible. Now, is there a chance that our country is going to learn fiscal responsibility before disaster strikes? I would say

sure, it's possible, but it's not probable. Like, I don't want to say a 0% chance, so I'll say close to 0% chance. Now, I want to tell you about the disadvantages of gold. So I own physical gold and I own gold on the stock market, and I want to get the obvious disadvantage out of the way. If

you own physical gold, then you have to worry about getting robbed. Like, it sounds so primitive and blunt, but that's the truth. Like, anybody with physical gold is going to tell you the same thing. If not, then they're either not being honest with you or they're just being reckless. So there's a— yeah, there's a security issue. If

you want to store it somewhere, you know, to enhance your security, then you're going to incur storage fees. And if you, if you store it off-site, then they might get robbed. But you can always get insurance, but then you have to pay for insurance. And if it's off-site, then you may have issues with accessibility, especially if SHTF.

So I'm telling you, there are certain inconveniences that come along with just owning physical gold, especially if you have a larger quantity. So I'm not saying that it's not worth it. I'm just saying that it comes with the territory. Okay. Now, if you own gold on the stock market, then there's always going to be the risk of

manipulation or confiscation. So if the government wanted to confiscate your gold again, they wouldn't go knocking door to door like, hey, you got any gold? Can I confiscate it? No, what the government's going to do, they're just going to target the gold ETFs on the stock markets. So they would just go to their storage vaults and confiscate

the gold that's backing the ETF for a lowball, unfair price. Like, it would actually be very convenient for the government. So they would just say it's a matter of national security. So there's always that risk. And as improbable as it might sound right now, it may not be so improbable in the future, like especially if the government's

collapsing, well, it's going to be desperate times call for desperate measures. And there's always that risk of robbery from bad actors, and that doesn't exclude the U.S. government. Another disadvantage of gold is that it is not a productive asset. Again, you're not buying gold to get rich, and gold's not going to produce you any income. But personally,

I've overcome this disadvantage, like this specific disadvantage, because my gold in the stock market it does produce income for me. So what I do is I write covered calls just way out of the money, and what I make, it actually beats the interest rates that the banks are offering while my asset is appreciating in price. So these

are some of the disadvantages. There's not going to be a perfect asset that's got no downside or issues to it, but this is what I'm exposed to as a, you know, owner of gold. But I've learned to overcome come down. So to me, it's like, you know, no big deal, whatever. And I also want to answer this

question. So which is better, physical gold or gold on the stock markets? They're each going to have their pros and cons. And, you know, I can go so in-depth about this, I could dedicate a separate video to this. But personally, I own both physical gold and gold on the stock markets. If you want to buy gold in

the stock market, the ticker symbol is GLD. But here's my warning to you. If you want to buy gold on the stock market, just buy gold like GLD. Don't try to buy gold mining companies. If you're like an expert in gold mining operations and you have experience analyzing financials and operations and geopolitics, then go ahead and invest

in gold mining stocks and try to pick a winner. But if you don't know what you're doing, just buy gold, not gold mining companies on stock markets. Because this is what can happen if the price of gold shoots up and your gold mining company runs a bad operation. The stock price can go down even, even though gold

is going up. And then you'd feel so bad. So I can't concentrate. Okay, so what have you learned today? You probably learned that I like gold. And I gave you my reasons why. But I'll tell you this, very important, please do not go all in on gold like I, I have not. Again, you want to stay diversified.

I like gold a lot, but diversification is key. That's all for today. Please subscribe. Thank you for the support. I wish you a very nice day. Take care.

Whoa, I'm up £10 on my short.

I'm down £100 on my long.

Tanking. Told you, didn't I?

Why do I— I'm always long when the market tanks and I'm always short when it rips.

Fucking annoying.

Damn. Oh, Bitmain's tanking.

Oh my God, Bitmine's down to 55.

I'm gonna lose all my gains. I was up 240, up 70 now.

Holy shit, life is tanking hard.

I took profit on my short, £20.

So what I made today,

I made £21 short. I made £10 long, but yesterday I lost £30 going long, and today I made that back. So I made nothing.

Yesterday I lost £30, today— what did I do?

I closed the short and then I opened it again. Thank God I took profit now. £20.

Now I've got 2 longs open and they're both down £100 now altogether.

I've got one short still open.

Bitmain's tanking,

gold's ripping.

Genius.

Oh, it's still tanking. Oh my God, I shouldn't have sold my short.

If I didn't open those longs, I'd be up £150

on my CFD account.

I can just never get this CFD account back

It does the thing I want it to do when I don't think it's gonna do it. That tank was massive.

That was a 2.3% tankage.

Oh God, bit mine.

All my gains gone. I'm up £50 from £240.

Should I recalculate my savings?

It's not going to be pretty.

Yeah, not bad actually. I guess the, um,

CFD account going back up thanks to the shorts have— has helped.

£6,533. And if I include my YouTube money, which should be in my AdSense account by now,

324. Oh, I'm getting paid 324.

Should I add my YouTube money then? Haha, my savings went up. 6857 now.

Are you sure that's right?

Oh my God, look at the market!

I chose the wrong time to go long and close it short.

6,842. I'm including my YouTube money. That I'll get in 10 days. Why not? It's already in my account, it's just not in my bank account.

Come on, market, bounce!

What? That's insane! Look at the tanking!

Oh my God, look at Bitmine, it's down to like 53.

Oh, look at Tesla. Well, gold's ripping.

I'm down 180 on my long. Yesterday I went short, I got destroyed. Today I go long, I'm getting destroyed. It's insane.

That's how the rich stay rich.

Oh, I didn't add my OnlyFans money. I think I got $90.

Yeah, I got $90, which is

£67. So actually my savings are £6,909.

Bitmine is down like 20%.

This is doing really badly.

Gold's ripping though.

The market's still tanking. Holy fuck,

I'm only being saved because I got that short open, otherwise I'd be getting wrecked.

I'm up £28 on Bitmine from being up £200.

It's all traveling trader's fault.

I'm 100% long, 50% short on my safety account.

Fly.

Is it done crashing?

Command V-shaped recovery.

Look, I did my Rubik's Cube.

Beautiful.

There's no way I would have figured out how to do it without Looking how— looking up a guide.

I don't know how you would just randomly guess how to do it. The tactic to do it is just so weird, you'd never have thought of it unless you're a genius like me.

I finished it about 6 times today already.

I don't think anyone was even here when I did it the first time. No one even said anything.

Yep, I finished my Rubik's Cube.

Market's still going crazy.

Yeah, I think it's not over for crypto.

Oh no, I'm down £16 on my new short.

Bouncing now.

Oh, Bitmain's ripping.

I just think it's going to bottom there exactly where I put my short in.

Probably.

Yeah, I always seem to time the bottom perfectly for my short. And I timed the top perfectly for my long. It's actually insane. You look at my chart, I'm long at the exact top, and then I'm short at the exact bottom of this crash.

How do I time it perfectly but the wrong way around?

It's nuts.

I actually timed it Perfectly, but in the wrong way.

Yeah, well, okay then. If you can do that, I'm gonna buy £500 more of Bitmine. So fuck you.

I'm gonna buy it. I bought Bitmine

if we're bouncing here.

I just bought £400 more Bitmine.

Now I can't lose.

Oh God, it's bouncing. Oh fuck, I just put in a new short right at the bottom of the crash.

Come on, crash one more time.

I'm gonna winter at my mom's house by the fireplace.

Carver Markets. I'm down £30 on my new short.

I closed the short, lock in the £30 loss, and then market carries on tanking anyway. This could be dead cat bounce.

But knowing my luck, if I went back to Thailand, I'd probably get in trouble with the police. Who knows if Vassa has reported me or something,

or she might get freaked out if she finds out I came back.

I don't think she's that kind of person.

What did I do? I only publicly humiliated her

and admitted I cheated like 100,000 times

and said she's not very attractive. I don't know, just a few things.

Yeah, I'm not going back to Thailand.

Thailand was like,

like a last resort if I couldn't make enough money and I was still, um, not talking to my

mum

and I didn't have a girlfriend. So those 3 conditions had to be met and none of those are met.

So for that reason, I'm out.

Apologies to AJ. No free trip to Thailand.

Um, I have one goal, but I can't say.

I'll tell you later,

also known as never.

May— maybe in 5 years' time I can tell you.

No comment.

Damn, that tankage was wild.

I'm down £30 on my new short. I opened a new short right at the bottom where it stops tanking.

I am a genius at timing.

I'm long at the very top, I'm short at the very bottom of this move.

Come on, dead cat bounce.

Bitmain ripping, gold tanking.

Imagine on Bloomberg Finance or CNBC they talk like that, financial updates. Ripping, S&P 500 tanking.

Tim Schofield live on Twitch, probably to 4 viewers, his friends. Why does he bother? Stream on Kick. I don't know, he's got like a million, 2 million subs and he gets like 5 viewers on Twitch. Playing Call of Duty. Oh, what happened to my Battlefield? I completely forgot. 29 minutes until it's downloaded. I completely forgot. I got

the new Battlefield 6

nearly finished downloading.

No, spasm.

That's a good one.

Spasming good tonight, boys.

We're gonna do a dead cat bounce.

Looks like it could.

Oh no,

I've been having the heating on quite often recently, but I've been doing less driving.

Drive less

means I get heating for free.

I

think Trump did something, that's why it crashed. What are people saying?

Why is my list all out of order?

Trump sucks off Xi Jinping on live TV on Monday. It's probably gonna rip then.

That was tariff news.

Trump doing massive tariff hike tomorrow. Get ready for

more China tariffs.

Buy the dip.

I bought more Bitmain.

Oh God, it's tanking. Well, well, it's tanking. I think this dead cat bounce—

my short's down £15.

It's either dead cat bounce or making a higher low.

Actually, I can't buy the dip because the UK markets are closed. And my ETFs are UK market ETFs.

Oh.

I

need crisps.

Where is everyone tuning in today?

Mm, these are so good.

Uh, Meet Kevin's live.

JP Morgan, because he was bearish the entire bull run. He did, and he's still counting on, on being a bear. So Klotovic's been a bear for quite a while. Uh, okay, what do we got with Nvidia? Let's see here. Nvidia, you've got a consolidation right now. So you had a nice bottom, nice little bottom foundation, bottom getting

a little bit of consolidation, consolidating as the VIX is plummeting. So if you own options, you know, you could make money selling owned options now because the volatility is elevated, right? I hate when they talk about options. Boring.

And if you could type calls right, like, right now. I mean, I'm buying shares. I set an alert on shares on buy, uh, and, uh, let's see what we got here. I mean, look at this. Tesla now moving up. Meta's now moving up. I've got Apple, uh, moving up. I've got, I've got Netflix moving up, dude. I've

got Nvidia recovering. This is the moment, like, intraday, intraday. I'm excited about the foundation I see. Like, the bad news is in, the little weenie bitches are in, you know, the paper hands are sold, uh, you know, we made our money on puts if you were, you know, bearish this morning. Because I was bearish this morning in

the Alpha Report. I'm like, I still remember this morning in the Alpha Report before the market opened up, so I was like, Kevin, should we go calls on the Q's? I'm like, nah, man, no calls on the Q's today, man. Nah, dude, this is like— if anything, we was going down. I didn't think we're gonna have Trump

lash out, uh, but there were other factors that sort of contributed to this this morning. Let's see what's going on with yields and what's going on with, uh, CNBC. We've got— look at the yields, buddy. Dude, that could be a move on the yield plays as well. Watch the yield plays, okay? 8.1 bps on the 10, dude.

People went crazy, crazy when the yield hit 4% on the 10. So watch that. Wow, gold up

1.5%. Uh, oil is tanking. I told you, I'm down £11 on my short. Here comes the next big fat red candle.

Let's go. Look at Nvidia recover. The double bottom on the Q is sticking. Oh, I think we bought the bottom, boys. I think we bought the bottom. God, me Kevin's so annoying. I don't know how anyone watches this guy. I'm gonna lose my voice after all this. This is crazy. Nice, nice double. I think we were talking

about business. Argentina Central Bank rolled out a broad package of economic measures to boost reserves, including a repo facility of two billion. Dollar. Move comes ahead of expected review of the IMF country. Uh, it needs to calm down a little bit. Argentina agreed with the IMF to strengthen its net foreign reserve. Central bank will hold the dollar

repo auction. So what's going on with Bessent? Bessent Argentina. Argentina. Bessent says— here we go. Bessent Says U.S. purchased 20— purchased pesos and finalized framework for $20 billion lifeline to Argentina. Trump administration has finalized plans to provide $20 billion lifeline to Argentina. Additionally, United States directly purchased the Argentine peso, a rare move that marks

the latest step to attempt to stabilize the country's financial market. You know, they basically tumbled into a recession. Let me go into

Argentine GDP. Uh, wait, let's listen to this for a moment. The inflationary impact and the Fed's response mechanism to that. And the bond market, I remind you, over the last 3 years has been very wrong on Fed policy. That's true. Very slow to acknowledge the rate hikes and then further really pressing the string of trying to get

rate cuts sooner than possible, or sooner than that, the Fed would actually Respond to. And so here we are again at one of these crossroads. And I think what Jay said is right, that, you know, if there is some— if there's some pressure on the inflation data, maybe the Fed's a little more hesitant to do anything. But

if we see degradation later, they know that that can— that mechanism can be exploited. Shout out, by the way, to those of you who joined the Meet Kevin Alpha folks. We've got Alpha members here. We've got Layton, Anthony, All y'all using the, uh, Anthony, Layton, Ahmed, Andre, Alan, Javin, Calvin, Adeel, Brandon, Edgar, Brad. Let's go, Brad!

Carlos, Jaime, Jorge, Daniel.

Man, that sounds like ka-ching. Anyway, welcome. Thanks so much for joining the, uh, weekend membership. We will not disappoint you. We will be here for you. Uh, anyway, you can see, uh, right here is the real GDP for Argentina. You can see here under Milei's leadership, we've actually had multiple quarters here of negative GDP, but this has

been in an effort to control the inflation, uh, situation. In Argentina. Argentina. Let's find out what we've got here. Yeah, a lot of movies. Inflation kills a lot of time. Inflation, consumer prices for Argentina. And let's go to the percent change from a year ago on inflation. So it already kills time.

I can only get annual frequency. That's not good. Did they stop before this guy? Yeah, they actually had inflation data for 2025 on Argentina. It was like 80 to 68%. Argentina inflation data.

Uh, let's see, it should be coming down. Yes, it has been coming down. That helps. It stabilizes. Here's the 10-year inflation rate. Jeez, man, they've had so many issues. So Javier, in LA, you boys potentially into a recession? Recession, uh, has been able to get that inflation rate down, which makes sense. That's how you get inflation down,

is you cut spending and essentially force a recession. U.S. Treasury is prepared immediately to take whatever exceptional measures to stabilize markets.

Uh, this was the $20 billion lifeline and currency swap to exchange U.S. Treasuries With pesos. I've been wondering what's been happening to the Argentine dollar. Argentina peso. Argentina peso to USD. Let's go the other way around. USD to Argentina peso. If we take a look at this over the last year,

we can actually see the currency. Uh, we have been— yeah, this is a devaluation of the currency because the United States dollar has become a lot stronger versus it. If I go to the last month,

uh, let's see here, Argentine peso.

This is just the last month. You get some volatility in here. Okay, got it. Let's keep going over We got the big spike to 20 right now. That's 20. You still got MP Material cranking right now. Pretty impressive. And it looks like Nvidia's still on the recovery track. Let's freaking go! You got Nvidia on the recovery track.

Apple, Apple's not as strong as some of the others. Tesla is still trying to rubber band down. I still got the bottom, still maintaining the bottom, uh, on the purchase that I made, the dip buy that I made, which is great. Uh, and, and I mean, that what I bought is a stock I'm buying for the next

10 years. It's our 6th stock. We've released, uh, 6 stocks to buy for the next 10 years. Obviously not personalized financial advice, but I've got like many different buckets of stocks. I've got stocks that, you know, great for a day trade, stocks that are great for like 3 to 6 months, and then the 10-year— the list of

10 stocks to buy for the next 10 years. And so we just announced that I've made the decision on number 6, uh, and, and I used this crisis as an opportunity to start a position in it, which I'm pretty excited about. Um, but my 10 stocks to buy for the next 10 years, yeah, I started with small

positions and worked my way up on that. It's pretty exciting. But anyway, uh, okay, cool. Cool. So, uh, let's see here. Then we've got what other comments we have here. Something here, right? This is not a headline risk. It is a cost of capital plus cost of input shock getting repriced into one candle. Yeah, but the markets

don't think that far ahead, man. Like, just look at Liberation Day. You have to remember that. You look at Liberation Day, people, you know, people are really fast. Look past this. Ah, nearly did it. Messed it up somehow. I wonder what app this is. This is a fancy little tool.

Yo, what tool this, bro? What tool this, bro?

There we go. I mean, I, I use tools similar to this, but I I haven't seen that format, uh, so I'm watching— I watch those all day long, obviously. Like, I came in yesterday, I walked into the office, I saw this red, I'm like, oh shit, what's happening? And it was, um, earthquake in the Philippines. Okay, so

does anybody have anything interesting to say? I know the mainstream media doesn't. You know what, the Wall Street Journal is probably updated at this point.

All right, let's go to the journal.

Okay, so, okay, so here we go. Higher tariff threats. Here we go. Rare earth threatens global economy. Stocks fall after Trump threat. There we go. Wall Street Journal updated. You know, I'm just a little Because like, you know, I was looking over here and I'm like, I don't see— I don't see this here. You know, if I—

like, even if I go to business, we talk about Lay's chips getting naked. It's all right,

we'll just— we'll have to look over here. Truck the Red Star Terrors. Okay, we know The flare-up over export controls echoes a dispute that was supposedly resolved months ago. Correct. Like, this is the thing. This is the bullcrap of— of— I mean, I hate to say it, but of Trump's way of doing this stuff. Uh, so I'm

gonna put this down. Uh, so we're gonna go Trump's Trade disaster. Trump implied China trade deals were set set months ago, including the unilateral signing of the TikTok deal. Now, did it?

Easy. Have deals with China.

It also appears that Trump likely now canceling the Xi Jinping

meeting in two weeks. He just didn't want to travel to

China. Okay. I can mention up.

And then fix it. Hopefully I can fix it like that. We've got investigation into QCOM, investigation into Nvidia. We've got, um, Titan rare earth export controls. This is leading

MP to all-time highs, as well as rallies in companies like metals, probably LAC as well. Here, he's consolidating. LAC, no, uh, but UAMY, I'll give them the honorable UAMY. Okay, it's, it's these, these Act as a flight to safety, right?

During Chinese disputes. So we also see. Let's see what's going on with yields. So yields, yields still down seven basis points, 7.7. Ten year down, ten year yield down 7.7 bps. Great. Okay, then let's see here what else we have from the

Journal.

Trump promises, you know, retaliation. Uh, Trump threatening, uh, 2 retaliations for every one of China's.

Average tariff rate on Chinese goods right now. Wow, average tariff rate on Chinese goods is now 57%. That's remarkable.

Okay, let's grab some other notes here.

Then we've got— let's pull in some more of this. Okay, US stocks gave up their gains for the week.

Oh, let's look at the, um, Global Times. Let's see what China says.

Global Times. So China to take measures to safeguard interest.

China hopes to see comprehensive permanent ceasefire in Gaza, safeguard global supply chains.

Done it again. Here are the Global Times. China take necessary steps. Easy. China's Ministry of Commerce said China noted the relevant situation in the US, but China urges the US to correct its erroneous practices as soon as possible and take measures to resolutely safeguard legitimate rights and interests to Chinese entities.

Market is still tanking. Concept of national security, abused export control measures, and arbitrarily exercised long-arm jurisdiction, imposing sweeping sanctions on multiple entities including Chinese companies. The U.S. move has seriously damaged the legitimate rights of businesses and undermined the security and stability of global supply chains. Yeah, I mean, this is China's case basically, right? So China pissed, which

isn't a surprise.

We should be allocating for carry, for income, and for yield, not because we think that there's a risk to move materially tighter and not because we think rates are going to fall dramatically either, which are historically, as you know, the drivers that boost total returns in some market cycles. So for our perspective, it does feel like there's

a bit of indigestion. It feels like we're hitting a speed limit of it. But I, but I don't feel as though So much has fundamentally changed about the backdrop in corporate credit. And again, these periods of episodic market volatility, if we take it kind of the natural extension for market functioning, probably opens the door for areas like

private credit to step in and fill a financing void in those sorts of episodes. Jeff, I want you to jump in here and get your take. Do you think the First Brands blowup is just a test or could it be something more? Well, I think it's just a symptomatic Welcome aboard, Elliot. I saw Elliot. You just joined

the course member Meet Kevin membership. Thanks so much for joining. You'll love it. Make sure to watch lecture 1.0. We'll take good care of you. We love y'all. Points out right is that when you look at the public markets today, and I think Apollo did this morning saying 80% of the credit markets yield inside of 5% today.

You know, people one of the big objections people have about the Meet Kevin membership is they're like, Kevin, like, how do I know you're gonna keep like posting these Alpha Reports and reports and stuff? Uh, and I think— I don't think there's anybody who streams that's more excited about this shit than me. Like, I love this, like

the sticks, fundamental analysis, uh, you know, all of it. And, uh, I've been doing this since 2017 on YouTube. I already got anywhere. You know, you can look back at our Course Member Live archive and it goes back to like 2018, uh, which is pretty remarkable. They're all there. You could, you could literally watch my Course Member

Live streams through COVID and us buying the dip during COVID So people who bought and got lifetime access then, it's like they're— they just get like infinite profit by continuing to come back to watch the videos, right? Infinite return, I guess, on, on their investment. All right, let's see. I want to see what else they're saying here.

China's government supply chain. China's Ministry of Commerce announced Thursday measures to strengthen export controls of certain rare earth-related items and technologies. New measures further refine China's regulatory framework.