Recording
Why Apple Stock Could CRASH the US Stock Market
2023-09-18 · 7 min
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- rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868Machine-generated and unreviewed; may be wrong; not a verified quotation.enraw_asractive176 segments
Transcript
Things are not looking too great for Apple
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0:00–0:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_0and the US stock market. So as you can
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0:02–0:03 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_1see, we're looking at a stock chart of the
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0:04–0:05 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_2Apple stock, and yeah, this looks pretty
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0:05–0:08 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_3catastrophic. So we hit a high of $189.94
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0:08–0:12 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_4on the 6th of September, which was like a
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0:13–0:16 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_5week ago, more than a week ago, and now we
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0:16–0:18 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_6came all the way down to as low as $174,
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0:18–0:23 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_7nearly hit $173, but it managed to bounce
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0:23–0:26 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_8off here at 174, and it's having a bit of
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0:26–0:29 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_9a bounce back here, but I really don't
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0:29–0:31 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_10think this is going to last. I reckon the
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0:31–0:32 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_11highest it's going to bounce back would
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0:33–0:34 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_12either be around this zone or around this
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0:34–0:37 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_13zone, which are clear lines of resistance.
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0:37–0:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_14I can just easily eyeball this, but if you
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0:41–0:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_15want to see it clearly, you can see
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0:43–0:44 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_16there's a clear resistance line here, and
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0:44–0:47 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_17there's a clear resistance line also here,
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0:47–0:49 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_18here, and then obviously the next one
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0:49–0:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_19would be up here, but I really doubt Apple
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0:51–0:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_20is ever going to get back up to here
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0:54–0:55 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_21anytime soon. And if you haven't seen
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0:55–0:57 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_22already, I mean, it's pretty obvious. I
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0:57–0:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_23don't know how you could miss this, but
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0:59–1:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_24there's a massive head and shoulders right
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1:00–1:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_25here on Apple stock. Look, there's the
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1:02–1:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_26left shoulder, there's a massive long head
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1:05–1:06 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_27with like Bart Simpson spiky hairstyle,
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1:06–1:09 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_28and then there's the right shoulder. It's
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1:09–1:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_29like a double right shoulder. And then
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1:11–1:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_30we've got like a double top here, small
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1:13–1:14 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_31double top there, and then we've got a
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1:14–1:16 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_32small double bottom here. In case you
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1:16–1:18 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_33didn't know, head and shoulders is a
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1:19–1:20 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_34bearish signal, an indication that things
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1:20–1:23 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_35are going to go down even more. And if you
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1:23–1:25 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_36look at the new iPhone 15 and the new
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1:26–1:28 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_37lineup that was released or announced at
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1:28–1:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_38the recent Apple Live launch event, I
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1:30–1:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_39think you can kind of understand why Apple
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1:33–1:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_40is probably not going to go up from here.
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1:35–1:36 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_41It's going to go down because the new
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1:36–1:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_42iPhone 15 lineup looks pretty rubbish.
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1:38–1:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_43There's barely any updates with the new
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1:41–1:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_44iPhone then it's got like, oh,
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1:43–1:44 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_4548-megapixel camera when no one really
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1:44–1:47 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_46cares that much about having so many
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1:47–1:48 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_47megapixels. And there's a new Action
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1:49–1:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_48Button, and there's like, oh, USB-C
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1:51–1:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_49charging. It's like the most uninteresting
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1:54–1:56 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_50new iPhone that has ever been released,
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1:56–1:59 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_51and I reckon this is going to do really
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1:59–2:01 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_52bad sales and it's going to flop really
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2:01–2:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_53badly, and Apple stock is just going to
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2:02–2:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_54crash and just come down to levels that we
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2:04–2:07 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_55haven't seen in ages. So obviously we're
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2:08–2:10 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_56going to have to wait a while until the
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2:10–2:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_57next earnings readings for the next
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2:12–2:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_58quarter until we can see if the iPhone 15
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2:13–2:15 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_59actually flopped or how hard it's going to
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2:15–2:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_60flop. But I reckon I could easily safely
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2:17–2:21 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_61place my bets on iPhone 15 sales not being
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2:21–2:23 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_62that great and being kind of lacking in
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2:23–2:25 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_63luster. And when that happens, it's not
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2:25–2:28 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_64going to look pretty. Also, historically,
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2:28–2:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_65the iPhone stock runs up, up until the
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2:30–2:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_66announcement or the launch event of the
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2:33–2:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_67new iPhones. And then during the event or
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2:36–2:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_68after the events, the stock kind of sells
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2:38–2:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_69off because it's like a sell the news
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2:40–2:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_70event. So I can kind of see what's going
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2:41–2:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_71to happen. We might bounce up a little bit
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2:43–2:45 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_72to this support line or resistance line,
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2:45–2:47 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_73and it's going to reject off this
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2:48–2:49 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_74resistance line, and then it's going to
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2:49–2:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_75come down probably like— it's going to hit
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2:51–2:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_76this line, it's going to come down like,
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2:54–2:55 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_77uh, down to maybe down to this level.
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2:55–2:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_78This would be the next— it's going to
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2:58–2:59 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_79crash through this support line easily,
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3:00–3:01 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_80and then The next support line would be
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3:01–3:03 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_81this one here at, um, $170, and then it
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3:04–3:07 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_82might do like a little rebound like, uh,
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3:08–3:10 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_83like that, maybe back up to there, and
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3:10–3:12 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_84then it's just going to continue selling
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3:13–3:14 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_85off like this. So I reckon it'll come back
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3:14–3:16 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_86down to like $165. And if we zoom out to
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3:16–3:20 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_87the larger time frame, then you can kind
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3:20–3:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_88of see this doesn't look like too
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3:22–3:24 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_89unbelievable of a prediction. So we got
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3:24–3:27 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_90the head and shoulders here, we got the
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3:28–3:28 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_91bounce off the resistance lines, crashing
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3:29–3:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_92down to lower support lines, a little bit
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3:30–3:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_93of a rally, but then meeting more
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3:33–3:34 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_94resistance at the previous support line
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3:35–3:36 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_95and then back down to the downside.
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3:36–3:39 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_96And then what you're really going to see
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3:39–3:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_97is some extreme pain in the markets. The
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3:41–3:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_98next support line is not until $155, and
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3:43–3:46 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_99then below that the next support line
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3:47–3:48 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_100would be like down to $144. And then if it
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3:48–3:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_101cracks that support line too, it could go
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3:51–3:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_102all the way back down to what, $124?
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3:54–3:56 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_103So if we zoom out on the charts, you can
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3:57–3:59 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_104see all these peaks, these massive
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3:59–4:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_105mountains. Look at this big mountain,
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4:00–4:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_106lots of little mountain peaks crashing
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4:02–4:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_107down, shooting back up. It crashes down as
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4:04–4:07 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_108much as it shot up. So look at this, it
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4:08–4:10 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_109went up about this much and it came
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4:10–4:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_110straight back down that much, all the way
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4:11–4:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_111down to 125. And then it shot up, whoosh,
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4:14–4:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_112all the way up to 196. I mean, it could
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4:17–4:19 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_113easily just equally shoot back down to
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4:20–4:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_114however much it shot back up. So look It
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4:22–4:24 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_115could go from like here all the way back
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4:24–4:27 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_116down to there and then bounce off this
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4:27–4:29 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_117support line here. Imagine the world of
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4:29–4:32 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_118pain in the markets if Apple dropped down
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4:32–4:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_119as low back to 130. Now you might be
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4:35–4:37 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_120thinking, oh, that's never going to
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4:37–4:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_121happen, Apple's too strong. Well, it's
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4:38–4:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_122obviously happened many times in the past.
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4:40–4:42 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_123Look at this: up then down, up then down,
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4:42–4:44 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_124up then down, up then down, up then down,
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4:44–4:46 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_125up then down would be of the next obvious
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4:47–4:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_126step in this process. And you know how
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4:51–4:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_127they say historically September is a very
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4:53–4:55 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_128bad month in the stock market, and usually
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4:55–4:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_129at the back end of September you see
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4:58–5:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_130massive sell-offs across the market? And
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5:01–5:03 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_131you know what also happens in September
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5:03–5:05 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_132every year? Yeah, the Apple launch events
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5:05–5:08 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_133for the new iPhones. Whenever they release
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5:08–5:09 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_134new iPhone every, every year, it happens
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5:10–5:12 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_135in September. So I don't think it's a
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5:12–5:14 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_136massive coincidence that every time Apple
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5:15–5:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_137releases a new phone, the stock sells off
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5:17–5:19 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_138and the market also kind of crashes around
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5:20–5:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_139the end of September. And then there's
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5:22–5:24 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_140like a bit of a relief rally, also known
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5:24–5:26 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_141as a Christmas rally, that bounces back up
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5:26–5:29 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_142into the end of the year and everyone's
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5:29–5:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_143like euphoric again because it's
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5:31–5:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_144Christmas. And then it tends to sell off
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5:33–5:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_145again into the new year and the beginning
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5:35–5:37 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_146of the next year. So the other scenario we
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5:37–5:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_147could see is I might be wrong and then
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5:40–5:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_148this could be a double bottom here. Let me
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5:41–5:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_149zoom in. This could be a double bottom
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5:44–5:45 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_150here at this head and shoulders, and then
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5:46–5:48 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_151it could like gap up back up to 196 and
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5:48–5:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_152create like a big W, which is kind of like
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5:51–5:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_153also a bullish signal. But then that's
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5:54–5:56 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_154kind of ignoring the head and shoulders
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5:56–5:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_155bearish signal right here. I mean, there
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5:58–6:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_156could be a scenario where there's— this is
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6:00–6:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_157the first bottom, then this is the second
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6:02–6:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_158bottom, and it gaps up to here, but then
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6:05–6:06 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_159eventually after it hits this bit, it will
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6:07–6:09 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_160be another double top. Hitting a major
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6:09–6:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_161resistance line and then come crashing
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6:11–6:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_162back down to where I predicted.
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6:13–6:15 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_163Eventually, there's no way to escape the
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6:15–6:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_164fact that Apple is gonna head back down
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6:17–6:20 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_165quite low, probably back down to around
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6:20–6:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_166$150 or $160. And I think this chart is
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6:23–6:26 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_167just kind of ugly. I mean, look at this,
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6:26–6:27 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_168we got lower highs. These highs are
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6:27–6:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_169getting lower and lower and lower and
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6:30–6:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_170lower and lower. It's like a staircase
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6:33–6:34 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_171going down. And these lows, they're
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6:35–6:36 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_172They're also lower and lower and lower and
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6:36–6:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_173lower. So we got lower highs and lower
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6:39–6:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_174lows. This is definitely not the sign of
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6:41–6:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_175