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Recording

Why Apple Stock Could CRASH the US Stock Market

2023-09-18 · 7 min

internet_archive
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Transcript

en
  1. Things are not looking too great for Apple

    Segment details0:00–0:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_0
  2. and the US stock market. So as you can

    Segment details0:02–0:03 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_1
  3. see, we're looking at a stock chart of the

    Segment details0:04–0:05 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_2
  4. Apple stock, and yeah, this looks pretty

    Segment details0:05–0:08 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_3
  5. catastrophic. So we hit a high of $189.94

    Segment details0:08–0:12 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_4
  6. on the 6th of September, which was like a

    Segment details0:13–0:16 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_5
  7. week ago, more than a week ago, and now we

    Segment details0:16–0:18 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_6
  8. came all the way down to as low as $174,

    Segment details0:18–0:23 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_7
  9. nearly hit $173, but it managed to bounce

    Segment details0:23–0:26 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_8
  10. off here at 174, and it's having a bit of

    Segment details0:26–0:29 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_9
  11. a bounce back here, but I really don't

    Segment details0:29–0:31 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_10
  12. think this is going to last. I reckon the

    Segment details0:31–0:32 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_11
  13. highest it's going to bounce back would

    Segment details0:33–0:34 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_12
  14. either be around this zone or around this

    Segment details0:34–0:37 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_13
  15. zone, which are clear lines of resistance.

    Segment details0:37–0:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_14
  16. I can just easily eyeball this, but if you

    Segment details0:41–0:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_15
  17. want to see it clearly, you can see

    Segment details0:43–0:44 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_16
  18. there's a clear resistance line here, and

    Segment details0:44–0:47 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_17
  19. there's a clear resistance line also here,

    Segment details0:47–0:49 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_18
  20. here, and then obviously the next one

    Segment details0:49–0:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_19
  21. would be up here, but I really doubt Apple

    Segment details0:51–0:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_20
  22. is ever going to get back up to here

    Segment details0:54–0:55 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_21
  23. anytime soon. And if you haven't seen

    Segment details0:55–0:57 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_22
  24. already, I mean, it's pretty obvious. I

    Segment details0:57–0:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_23
  25. don't know how you could miss this, but

    Segment details0:59–1:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_24
  26. there's a massive head and shoulders right

    Segment details1:00–1:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_25
  27. here on Apple stock. Look, there's the

    Segment details1:02–1:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_26
  28. left shoulder, there's a massive long head

    Segment details1:05–1:06 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_27
  29. with like Bart Simpson spiky hairstyle,

    Segment details1:06–1:09 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_28
  30. and then there's the right shoulder. It's

    Segment details1:09–1:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_29
  31. like a double right shoulder. And then

    Segment details1:11–1:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_30
  32. we've got like a double top here, small

    Segment details1:13–1:14 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_31
  33. double top there, and then we've got a

    Segment details1:14–1:16 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_32
  34. small double bottom here. In case you

    Segment details1:16–1:18 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_33
  35. didn't know, head and shoulders is a

    Segment details1:19–1:20 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_34
  36. bearish signal, an indication that things

    Segment details1:20–1:23 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_35
  37. are going to go down even more. And if you

    Segment details1:23–1:25 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_36
  38. look at the new iPhone 15 and the new

    Segment details1:26–1:28 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_37
  39. lineup that was released or announced at

    Segment details1:28–1:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_38
  40. the recent Apple Live launch event, I

    Segment details1:30–1:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_39
  41. think you can kind of understand why Apple

    Segment details1:33–1:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_40
  42. is probably not going to go up from here.

    Segment details1:35–1:36 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_41
  43. It's going to go down because the new

    Segment details1:36–1:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_42
  44. iPhone 15 lineup looks pretty rubbish.

    Segment details1:38–1:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_43
  45. There's barely any updates with the new

    Segment details1:41–1:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_44
  46. iPhone then it's got like, oh,

    Segment details1:43–1:44 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_45
  47. 48-megapixel camera when no one really

    Segment details1:44–1:47 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_46
  48. cares that much about having so many

    Segment details1:47–1:48 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_47
  49. megapixels. And there's a new Action

    Segment details1:49–1:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_48
  50. Button, and there's like, oh, USB-C

    Segment details1:51–1:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_49
  51. charging. It's like the most uninteresting

    Segment details1:54–1:56 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_50
  52. new iPhone that has ever been released,

    Segment details1:56–1:59 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_51
  53. and I reckon this is going to do really

    Segment details1:59–2:01 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_52
  54. bad sales and it's going to flop really

    Segment details2:01–2:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_53
  55. badly, and Apple stock is just going to

    Segment details2:02–2:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_54
  56. crash and just come down to levels that we

    Segment details2:04–2:07 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_55
  57. haven't seen in ages. So obviously we're

    Segment details2:08–2:10 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_56
  58. going to have to wait a while until the

    Segment details2:10–2:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_57
  59. next earnings readings for the next

    Segment details2:12–2:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_58
  60. quarter until we can see if the iPhone 15

    Segment details2:13–2:15 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_59
  61. actually flopped or how hard it's going to

    Segment details2:15–2:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_60
  62. flop. But I reckon I could easily safely

    Segment details2:17–2:21 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_61
  63. place my bets on iPhone 15 sales not being

    Segment details2:21–2:23 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_62
  64. that great and being kind of lacking in

    Segment details2:23–2:25 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_63
  65. luster. And when that happens, it's not

    Segment details2:25–2:28 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_64
  66. going to look pretty. Also, historically,

    Segment details2:28–2:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_65
  67. the iPhone stock runs up, up until the

    Segment details2:30–2:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_66
  68. announcement or the launch event of the

    Segment details2:33–2:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_67
  69. new iPhones. And then during the event or

    Segment details2:36–2:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_68
  70. after the events, the stock kind of sells

    Segment details2:38–2:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_69
  71. off because it's like a sell the news

    Segment details2:40–2:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_70
  72. event. So I can kind of see what's going

    Segment details2:41–2:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_71
  73. to happen. We might bounce up a little bit

    Segment details2:43–2:45 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_72
  74. to this support line or resistance line,

    Segment details2:45–2:47 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_73
  75. and it's going to reject off this

    Segment details2:48–2:49 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_74
  76. resistance line, and then it's going to

    Segment details2:49–2:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_75
  77. come down probably like— it's going to hit

    Segment details2:51–2:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_76
  78. this line, it's going to come down like,

    Segment details2:54–2:55 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_77
  79. uh, down to maybe down to this level.

    Segment details2:55–2:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_78
  80. This would be the next— it's going to

    Segment details2:58–2:59 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_79
  81. crash through this support line easily,

    Segment details3:00–3:01 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_80
  82. and then The next support line would be

    Segment details3:01–3:03 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_81
  83. this one here at, um, $170, and then it

    Segment details3:04–3:07 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_82
  84. might do like a little rebound like, uh,

    Segment details3:08–3:10 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_83
  85. like that, maybe back up to there, and

    Segment details3:10–3:12 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_84
  86. then it's just going to continue selling

    Segment details3:13–3:14 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_85
  87. off like this. So I reckon it'll come back

    Segment details3:14–3:16 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_86
  88. down to like $165. And if we zoom out to

    Segment details3:16–3:20 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_87
  89. the larger time frame, then you can kind

    Segment details3:20–3:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_88
  90. of see this doesn't look like too

    Segment details3:22–3:24 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_89
  91. unbelievable of a prediction. So we got

    Segment details3:24–3:27 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_90
  92. the head and shoulders here, we got the

    Segment details3:28–3:28 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_91
  93. bounce off the resistance lines, crashing

    Segment details3:29–3:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_92
  94. down to lower support lines, a little bit

    Segment details3:30–3:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_93
  95. of a rally, but then meeting more

    Segment details3:33–3:34 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_94
  96. resistance at the previous support line

    Segment details3:35–3:36 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_95
  97. and then back down to the downside.

    Segment details3:36–3:39 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_96
  98. And then what you're really going to see

    Segment details3:39–3:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_97
  99. is some extreme pain in the markets. The

    Segment details3:41–3:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_98
  100. next support line is not until $155, and

    Segment details3:43–3:46 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_99
  101. then below that the next support line

    Segment details3:47–3:48 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_100
  102. would be like down to $144. And then if it

    Segment details3:48–3:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_101
  103. cracks that support line too, it could go

    Segment details3:51–3:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_102
  104. all the way back down to what, $124?

    Segment details3:54–3:56 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_103
  105. So if we zoom out on the charts, you can

    Segment details3:57–3:59 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_104
  106. see all these peaks, these massive

    Segment details3:59–4:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_105
  107. mountains. Look at this big mountain,

    Segment details4:00–4:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_106
  108. lots of little mountain peaks crashing

    Segment details4:02–4:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_107
  109. down, shooting back up. It crashes down as

    Segment details4:04–4:07 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_108
  110. much as it shot up. So look at this, it

    Segment details4:08–4:10 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_109
  111. went up about this much and it came

    Segment details4:10–4:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_110
  112. straight back down that much, all the way

    Segment details4:11–4:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_111
  113. down to 125. And then it shot up, whoosh,

    Segment details4:14–4:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_112
  114. all the way up to 196. I mean, it could

    Segment details4:17–4:19 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_113
  115. easily just equally shoot back down to

    Segment details4:20–4:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_114
  116. however much it shot back up. So look It

    Segment details4:22–4:24 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_115
  117. could go from like here all the way back

    Segment details4:24–4:27 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_116
  118. down to there and then bounce off this

    Segment details4:27–4:29 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_117
  119. support line here. Imagine the world of

    Segment details4:29–4:32 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_118
  120. pain in the markets if Apple dropped down

    Segment details4:32–4:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_119
  121. as low back to 130. Now you might be

    Segment details4:35–4:37 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_120
  122. thinking, oh, that's never going to

    Segment details4:37–4:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_121
  123. happen, Apple's too strong. Well, it's

    Segment details4:38–4:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_122
  124. obviously happened many times in the past.

    Segment details4:40–4:42 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_123
  125. Look at this: up then down, up then down,

    Segment details4:42–4:44 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_124
  126. up then down, up then down, up then down,

    Segment details4:44–4:46 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_125
  127. up then down would be of the next obvious

    Segment details4:47–4:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_126
  128. step in this process. And you know how

    Segment details4:51–4:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_127
  129. they say historically September is a very

    Segment details4:53–4:55 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_128
  130. bad month in the stock market, and usually

    Segment details4:55–4:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_129
  131. at the back end of September you see

    Segment details4:58–5:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_130
  132. massive sell-offs across the market? And

    Segment details5:01–5:03 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_131
  133. you know what also happens in September

    Segment details5:03–5:05 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_132
  134. every year? Yeah, the Apple launch events

    Segment details5:05–5:08 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_133
  135. for the new iPhones. Whenever they release

    Segment details5:08–5:09 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_134
  136. new iPhone every, every year, it happens

    Segment details5:10–5:12 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_135
  137. in September. So I don't think it's a

    Segment details5:12–5:14 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_136
  138. massive coincidence that every time Apple

    Segment details5:15–5:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_137
  139. releases a new phone, the stock sells off

    Segment details5:17–5:19 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_138
  140. and the market also kind of crashes around

    Segment details5:20–5:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_139
  141. the end of September. And then there's

    Segment details5:22–5:24 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_140
  142. like a bit of a relief rally, also known

    Segment details5:24–5:26 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_141
  143. as a Christmas rally, that bounces back up

    Segment details5:26–5:29 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_142
  144. into the end of the year and everyone's

    Segment details5:29–5:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_143
  145. like euphoric again because it's

    Segment details5:31–5:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_144
  146. Christmas. And then it tends to sell off

    Segment details5:33–5:35 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_145
  147. again into the new year and the beginning

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  148. of the next year. So the other scenario we

    Segment details5:37–5:40 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_147
  149. could see is I might be wrong and then

    Segment details5:40–5:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_148
  150. this could be a double bottom here. Let me

    Segment details5:41–5:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_149
  151. zoom in. This could be a double bottom

    Segment details5:44–5:45 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_150
  152. here at this head and shoulders, and then

    Segment details5:46–5:48 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_151
  153. it could like gap up back up to 196 and

    Segment details5:48–5:51 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_152
  154. create like a big W, which is kind of like

    Segment details5:51–5:53 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_153
  155. also a bullish signal. But then that's

    Segment details5:54–5:56 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_154
  156. kind of ignoring the head and shoulders

    Segment details5:56–5:58 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_155
  157. bearish signal right here. I mean, there

    Segment details5:58–6:00 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_156
  158. could be a scenario where there's— this is

    Segment details6:00–6:02 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_157
  159. the first bottom, then this is the second

    Segment details6:02–6:04 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_158
  160. bottom, and it gaps up to here, but then

    Segment details6:05–6:06 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_159
  161. eventually after it hits this bit, it will

    Segment details6:07–6:09 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_160
  162. be another double top. Hitting a major

    Segment details6:09–6:11 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_161
  163. resistance line and then come crashing

    Segment details6:11–6:13 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_162
  164. back down to where I predicted.

    Segment details6:13–6:15 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_163
  165. Eventually, there's no way to escape the

    Segment details6:15–6:17 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_164
  166. fact that Apple is gonna head back down

    Segment details6:17–6:20 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_165
  167. quite low, probably back down to around

    Segment details6:20–6:22 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_166
  168. $150 or $160. And I think this chart is

    Segment details6:23–6:26 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_167
  169. just kind of ugly. I mean, look at this,

    Segment details6:26–6:27 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_168
  170. we got lower highs. These highs are

    Segment details6:27–6:30 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_169
  171. getting lower and lower and lower and

    Segment details6:30–6:33 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_170
  172. lower and lower. It's like a staircase

    Segment details6:33–6:34 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_171
  173. going down. And these lows, they're

    Segment details6:35–6:36 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_172
  174. They're also lower and lower and lower and

    Segment details6:36–6:38 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_173
  175. lower. So we got lower highs and lower

    Segment details6:39–6:41 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_174
  176. lows. This is definitely not the sign of

    Segment details6:41–6:43 · rev_2cb59745ba2d4042516fc1056e695868_175