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Recording

How to Short the Stock Market in 2020

2020-10-09 · 9 min

internet_archive
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Transcript

en
  1. Hello and welcome back to another

    Segment details0:00–0:02 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_0
  2. financial video on my channel. Today we're

    Segment details0:02–0:05 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_1
  3. going to be talking about how to short the

    Segment details0:06–0:08 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_2
  4. stock market. Now, what does shorting a

    Segment details0:08–0:11 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_3
  5. stock mean? Basically,

    Segment details0:11–0:13 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_4
  6. shorting a stock or short selling is a

    Segment details0:14–0:17 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_5
  7. way of trading that benefits from a

    Segment details0:17–0:20 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_6
  8. decline in the price of a company's

    Segment details0:21–0:23 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_7
  9. shares. With normal investing, you would

    Segment details0:23–0:26 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_8
  10. purchase shares that you think would have

    Segment details0:26–0:29 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_9
  11. a good outlook and it would have have good

    Segment details0:29–0:32 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_10
  12. potential for future growth. This is known

    Segment details0:32–0:35 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_11
  13. as going long. But when you short sell or

    Segment details0:36–0:39 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_12
  14. short stocks, you are really trying to do

    Segment details0:40–0:43 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_13
  15. the complete opposite to what I just said.

    Segment details0:43–0:45 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_14
  16. So basically what this means is that

    Segment details0:47–0:49 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_15
  17. people who want to do short selling,

    Segment details0:50–0:52 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_16
  18. first they look for shares or markets that

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  19. they think may be going down for a

    Segment details0:55–0:58 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_18
  20. downswing. So when you short a stock,

    Segment details0:59–1:01 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_19
  21. this can help you as a trader to hedge

    Segment details1:01–1:03 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_20
  22. against any possible negative movements in

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  23. the market. So here is my 5-point advice,

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  24. my 5 tips on how to short a stock.

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  25. Number 1, first of all, you need to choose

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  26. whether you want to invest in shares or if

    Segment details1:18–1:21 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_25
  27. you want to speculate on the price

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  28. movements Number 2, keep a close eye on

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  29. the market price to see if your guess

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  30. was the right guess. Number 3,

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  31. if the market fell just as you thought it

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  32. would, then you have to close your

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  33. position by buying back the shares that

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  34. you sold at a much lower price. Number 4,

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  35. if the market's price increased instead,

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  36. going against what you predicted, then you

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  37. should buy back the shares at a higher

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  38. price and then just pay the difference.

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  39. There are lots of different ways that you

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  40. can short sell a stock, and even though

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  41. the process and the steps to short selling

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  42. are mostly the same, at the end of the

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  43. day, it really depends on the method of

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  44. short selling that you decide to use.

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  45. Traditional short selling. So when it

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  46. comes to the traditional way of shorting

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  47. stocks, it basically involves borrow— It

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  48. involves borrowing the shares from a

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  49. person who has already bought them, and

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  50. then you sell them at the current market

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  51. price. If there is a fall in the market

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  52. price, then the investor can purchase back

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  53. the stocks at a much lower price and

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  54. profit from the change in value. This is

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  55. normally a practice that large

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  56. institutions do instead of individual

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  57. investors, but sometimes you can find a

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  58. broker that will facilitate the selling of

    Segment details2:55–2:58 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_57
  59. short selling. Short selling is a pretty

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  60. simple concept. An investor borrows a

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  61. stock, sells the stock, and then buys the

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  62. stock back to return it to the lender.

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  63. Short sellers are betting that the stock

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  64. they sell will drop in price. If the stock

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  65. does drop after selling, the short seller

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  66. buys it back at a lower price and returns

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  67. it to the lender. The difference between

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  68. the sell price and the buy price is the

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  69. profit. Short sellers are betting that a

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  70. stock will drop in price, and short

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  71. selling is riskier than going long on a

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  72. stock because there is no time limit.

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  73. There is no limit to the amount you could

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  74. lose. Speculators short sell to capitalize

    Segment details3:39–3:43 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_73
  75. on a decline, while hedgers go short to

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  76. protect gains or minimize losses. Short

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  77. selling, when it is successful, can net

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  78. the investor a nice profit in the short

    Segment details3:53–3:55 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_77
  79. term, as stocks tend to lose value faster

    Segment details3:55–3:58 · rev_879b833473b314e4155bd9837c89371f_78
  80. than they appreciate. Here is a lovely

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  81. example of a short sale.

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  82. For example, if an investor thinks Tesla

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  83. is overvalued and the price is going to

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  84. drop, the investor may borrow 10 shares

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  85. of Tesla from their broker, who then sells

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  86. it for the current market price of $600.

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  87. If the stock goes down to $400, the

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  88. investor could buy the shares back at this

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  89. price and then give the shares back to the

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  90. broker and net a profit of $1,000.

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  91. However, if the Tesla price rises to $700,

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  92. the investor would lose all of his money,

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  93. so it's very risky. So be careful if

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  94. you're gonna do this. Let's talk about the

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  95. risks of short selling. Short selling

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  96. involves amplified risk. When an investor

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  97. buys a stock or goes long, they stand to

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  98. lose only the money they have invested.

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  99. So therefore, if the investor bought 1

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  100. Tesla share at $600, The maximum

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  101. they could lose is $600 because the stock

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  102. cannot drop to less than zero. In other

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  103. words, the maximum value that any stock

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  104. can fall to is zero. However, when an

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  105. investor short sells, they can

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  106. theoretically lose an infinite amount of

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  107. money because a stock's price can keep

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  108. rising forever. As in example,

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  109. as in the example above. If an investor

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  110. had a short position in Tesla and

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  111. the price rose to $2,000 before the

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  112. investor exited, the investor would lose

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  113. $1,300 per share.

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  114. If an investor shorts a stock, there is

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  115. technically no limit to the amount they

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  116. could lose because the stock can continue

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  117. to go up in value indefinitely. In some

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  118. cases, the investor could even end up

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  119. owing their brokerage money. So why

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  120. do some investors go short? Short selling

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  121. can be used for speculation or hedging.

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  122. Speculators use short selling to

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  123. capitalize on a potential decline in a

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  124. specific security or across the market as

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  125. a whole. Hedgers use the strategy to

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  126. protect gains or mitigate losses in a

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  127. security or portfolio.

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  128. Institutional investors frequently engage

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  129. in short selling for both speculation

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  130. and hedging. Hedge funds are the most

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  131. active short sellers and often

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  132. use short selling in select stocks

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  133. or sectors to hedge their long positions

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  134. in other stocks. While short selling does

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  135. present investors with an opportunity to

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  136. make profits in a declining or neutral

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  137. market. It should only be attempted by

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  138. sophisticated investors and advanced

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  139. traders due to its risk of infinite

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  140. losses. So what is the point of short

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  141. selling? When does it make sense? Short

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  142. selling is not a strategy used by many

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  143. investors, largely because the expectation

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  144. is that the stocks will rise in value.

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  145. The stock market in the long run tends to

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  146. go up, although it certainly has its

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  147. periods when it goes down. Particularly

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  148. for investors who are looking at the long

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  149. horizon, buying stocks is less risky than

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  150. short-selling the market. Short-selling

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  151. does make sense, however, if an investor

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  152. is sure that a stock is likely to drop in

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  153. the short term. For example, if a company

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  154. is experiencing difficulties and could

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  155. miss debt repayments, So I

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  156. hope you liked my video about short

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  157. selling stocks, and if you have any

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  158. questions, feel free to ask in the

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  159. comments. And look forward to part 2 where

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  160. we'll be talking about hedging.

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